Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models point to an overnight minimum of 25°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough typical of subtropical summer conditions. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that stabilizes temperatures near the seasonal average low of roughly 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects alignment across official guidance and recent model runs, with the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the authoritative resolution source based on verified station measurements. A rapid clearing of skies or localized wind shift could realistically push the observed minimum to 24°C or 26°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before final readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 21 de agosto?
25°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,796 Vol.
$48,796 Vol.
21 ago 2026
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o más
<1%
25°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
31°C <1%
$48,796 Vol.
$48,796 Vol.
21 ago 2026
22°C o menos
$1,937 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,846 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$6,805 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$10,087 Vol.
100%
26°C
$6,070 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5,900 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$5,615 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,853 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$2,170 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,977 Vol.
<1%
32°C o más
$1,536 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models point to an overnight minimum of 25°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough typical of subtropical summer conditions. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that stabilizes temperatures near the seasonal average low of roughly 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects alignment across official guidance and recent model runs, with the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the authoritative resolution source based on verified station measurements. A rapid clearing of skies or localized wind shift could realistically push the observed minimum to 24°C or 26°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volumen
$48,796Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models point to an overnight minimum of 25°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough typical of subtropical summer conditions. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that stabilizes temperatures near the seasonal average low of roughly 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects alignment across official guidance and recent model runs, with the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the authoritative resolution source based on verified station measurements. A rapid clearing of skies or localized wind shift could realistically push the observed minimum to 24°C or 26°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before final readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$48,796Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting numerical models point to an overnight minimum of 25°C on August 21, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a broad low-pressure trough typical of subtropical summer conditions. These factors limit radiative cooling while maintaining high humidity that stabilizes temperatures near the seasonal average low of roughly 26°C. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 25°C reflects alignment across official guidance and recent model runs, with the Hong Kong Observatory serving as the authoritative resolution source based on verified station measurements. A rapid clearing of skies or localized wind shift could realistically push the observed minimum to 24°C or 26°C, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before final readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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