Global seismic rates from USGS monitoring show a baseline of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events per week worldwide, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along subduction zones and major faults, with 2026 activity aligning closely with long-term averages. Recent M6.7–7.7 events in Peru, Indonesia, and Colombia have produced limited aftershock sequences so far, reducing the likelihood of sustained clusters that could push counts higher during August 24–30. The tight spread across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 reflects Poisson-like natural variability, regional detection thresholds, and the absence of anomalous foreshock activity or major new ruptures. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify whether quiet conditions persist or fresh sequences emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más en todo el mundo del 24 al 30 de agosto?
¿Cuántos terremotos de 5.5 o más en todo el mundo del 24 al 30 de agosto?
≤6 24%
más de 13 16%
9 12%
7 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
≤6
24%
7
11%
8
11%
9
12%
10
9%
11
9%
12
6%
13
5%
más de 13
16%
≤6 24%
más de 13 16%
9 12%
7 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 ago 2026
≤6
$399 Vol.
24%
7
$0 Vol.
11%
8
$0 Vol.
11%
9
$0 Vol.
12%
10
$0 Vol.
9%
11
$0 Vol.
9%
12
$40 Vol.
6%
13
$0 Vol.
5%
más de 13
$150 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic rates from USGS monitoring show a baseline of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events per week worldwide, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along subduction zones and major faults, with 2026 activity aligning closely with long-term averages. Recent M6.7–7.7 events in Peru, Indonesia, and Colombia have produced limited aftershock sequences so far, reducing the likelihood of sustained clusters that could push counts higher during August 24–30. The tight spread across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 reflects Poisson-like natural variability, regional detection thresholds, and the absence of anomalous foreshock activity or major new ruptures. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify whether quiet conditions persist or fresh sequences emerge.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volumen
$589Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic rates from USGS monitoring show a baseline of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events per week worldwide, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along subduction zones and major faults, with 2026 activity aligning closely with long-term averages. Recent M6.7–7.7 events in Peru, Indonesia, and Colombia have produced limited aftershock sequences so far, reducing the likelihood of sustained clusters that could push counts higher during August 24–30. The tight spread across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 reflects Poisson-like natural variability, regional detection thresholds, and the absence of anomalous foreshock activity or major new ruptures. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify whether quiet conditions persist or fresh sequences emerge.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Volumen
$589Fecha de finalización
31 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 10:48 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic rates from USGS monitoring show a baseline of roughly 10–15 magnitude 5.5+ events per week worldwide, driven by steady tectonic plate motion along subduction zones and major faults, with 2026 activity aligning closely with long-term averages. Recent M6.7–7.7 events in Peru, Indonesia, and Colombia have produced limited aftershock sequences so far, reducing the likelihood of sustained clusters that could push counts higher during August 24–30. The tight spread across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 reflects Poisson-like natural variability, regional detection thresholds, and the absence of anomalous foreshock activity or major new ruptures. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify whether quiet conditions persist or fresh sequences emerge.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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