Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Hong Kong el 22 de agosto?
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
19%
31°C
39%
32°C
31%
33°C
7%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
4%
31°C 39%
32°C 31%
30°C 19%
29°C 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C or below
$202 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$140 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C
$25 Vol.
1%
29°C
$145 Vol.
8%
30°C
$146 Vol.
19%
31°C
$429 Vol.
39%
32°C
$204 Vol.
31%
33°C
$25 Vol.
7%
34°C
$20 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,347Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,347Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a maximum of 32°C on August 22 under east to southeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that suppress insolation and cap daytime heating. This aligns with trader consensus favoring 31–32°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities exceeding 65%, as persistent monsoon moisture and high relative humidity moderate peak temperatures below seasonal averages near 31–32°C. Recent model guidance shows consistent cloud cover through the period, with limited clear-sky windows reducing the likelihood of 33°C or higher readings. Upcoming forecast updates over the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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