Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to dominate Metro Manila, sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that suppress daytime solar heating and keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 30–32°C. PAGASA outlooks for August 22 list a 26–32°C range with 70% rain probability, aligning with August climatology where frequent monsoon rainfall typically limits peaks to 30–31°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while stronger or earlier convection would favor 30°C and clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official model consensus and historical analogs reinforce this narrow band ahead of the next PAGASA update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 22 de agosto?
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 12%
33°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C o menos
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
12%
31°C
36%
32°C
33%
33°C
11%
34°C
2%
35°C o más
1%
31°C 36%
32°C 33%
30°C 12%
33°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
25°C o menos
$198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$198 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$94 Vol.
1%
28°C
$152 Vol.
2%
29°C
$188 Vol.
4%
30°C
$578 Vol.
12%
31°C
$212 Vol.
36%
32°C
$205 Vol.
33%
33°C
$120 Vol.
11%
34°C
$37 Vol.
2%
35°C o más
$2 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to dominate Metro Manila, sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that suppress daytime solar heating and keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 30–32°C. PAGASA outlooks for August 22 list a 26–32°C range with 70% rain probability, aligning with August climatology where frequent monsoon rainfall typically limits peaks to 30–31°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while stronger or earlier convection would favor 30°C and clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official model consensus and historical analogs reinforce this narrow band ahead of the next PAGASA update.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,983Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to dominate Metro Manila, sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that suppress daytime solar heating and keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 30–32°C. PAGASA outlooks for August 22 list a 26–32°C range with 70% rain probability, aligning with August climatology where frequent monsoon rainfall typically limits peaks to 30–31°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while stronger or earlier convection would favor 30°C and clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official model consensus and historical analogs reinforce this narrow band ahead of the next PAGASA update.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,983Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) activity continues to dominate Metro Manila, sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and high humidity that suppress daytime solar heating and keep maximum temperatures tightly clustered near 30–32°C. PAGASA outlooks for August 22 list a 26–32°C range with 70% rain probability, aligning with August climatology where frequent monsoon rainfall typically limits peaks to 30–31°C. Traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 31°C and 32°C because small differences in cloud thickness, shower timing, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily maximum by 1°C, while stronger or earlier convection would favor 30°C and clearer breaks could allow brief spikes toward 33°C. Official model consensus and historical analogs reinforce this narrow band ahead of the next PAGASA update.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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