Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Austin points to a sunny, high-pressure pattern sustaining afternoon highs near 104–106°F on August 22, driving the market-implied 53.5% probability on 104–105°F as the leading outcome. Persistent subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and typical late-summer dew points near 70°F support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 98–101°F and recent daily maxima of 103–106°F. Shorter-range guidance shows low uncertainty for this range, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could favor the secondary 102–103°F or 106–107°F bins. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs expected later today will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 22 de agosto?
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 17%
108-109°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
95°F o menos
<1%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
54%
106-107°F
17%
108-109°F
6%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
1%
114°F o más
<1%
104-105°F 54%
102-103°F 25%
106-107°F 17%
108-109°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
95°F o menos
$41 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$41 Vol.
1%
98-99°F
$5 Vol.
3%
100-101°F
$68 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$247 Vol.
25%
104-105°F
$243 Vol.
54%
106-107°F
$61 Vol.
17%
108-109°F
$90 Vol.
6%
110-111°F
$55 Vol.
1%
112-113°F
$53 Vol.
1%
114°F o más
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Austin points to a sunny, high-pressure pattern sustaining afternoon highs near 104–106°F on August 22, driving the market-implied 53.5% probability on 104–105°F as the leading outcome. Persistent subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and typical late-summer dew points near 70°F support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 98–101°F and recent daily maxima of 103–106°F. Shorter-range guidance shows low uncertainty for this range, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could favor the secondary 102–103°F or 106–107°F bins. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs expected later today will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$935Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Austin points to a sunny, high-pressure pattern sustaining afternoon highs near 104–106°F on August 22, driving the market-implied 53.5% probability on 104–105°F as the leading outcome. Persistent subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and typical late-summer dew points near 70°F support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 98–101°F and recent daily maxima of 103–106°F. Shorter-range guidance shows low uncertainty for this range, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could favor the secondary 102–103°F or 106–107°F bins. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs expected later today will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum reading.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$935Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus for Austin points to a sunny, high-pressure pattern sustaining afternoon highs near 104–106°F on August 22, driving the market-implied 53.5% probability on 104–105°F as the leading outcome. Persistent subsidence, minimal cloud cover, and typical late-summer dew points near 70°F support strong daytime heating, consistent with climatological August averages of 98–101°F and recent daily maxima of 103–106°F. Shorter-range guidance shows low uncertainty for this range, though slight shifts in steering flow or boundary-layer moisture could favor the secondary 102–103°F or 106–107°F bins. Updated NWS point forecasts and ensemble runs expected later today will refine resolution criteria ahead of the daily maximum reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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