Traders see closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 23 minimum because short-range forecast models diverge on nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show a moist monsoon flow that could enhance cloudiness, limiting overnight temperature drops below the seasonal 22–24°C baseline, while clearer intervals might allow greater cooling toward 19–20°C. Humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns from the Sichuan basin further widen uncertainty bands, with updated model runs expected to clarify whether precipitation arrives before dawn on the 23rd.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más baja en Chengdu el 23 de agosto?
24°C 33%
19°C or below 33%
23°C 29%
25°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
19°C or below
33%
20°C
9%
21°C
17%
22°C
27%
23°C
29%
24°C
33%
25°C
28%
26°C
27%
27°C
27%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
24°C 33%
19°C or below 33%
23°C 29%
25°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
23 ago 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
33%
20°C
$5 Vol.
9%
21°C
$27 Vol.
17%
22°C
$0 Vol.
27%
23°C
$0 Vol.
29%
24°C
$0 Vol.
33%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$0 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
27%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$27 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 23 minimum because short-range forecast models diverge on nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show a moist monsoon flow that could enhance cloudiness, limiting overnight temperature drops below the seasonal 22–24°C baseline, while clearer intervals might allow greater cooling toward 19–20°C. Humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns from the Sichuan basin further widen uncertainty bands, with updated model runs expected to clarify whether precipitation arrives before dawn on the 23rd.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$69Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 23 minimum because short-range forecast models diverge on nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show a moist monsoon flow that could enhance cloudiness, limiting overnight temperature drops below the seasonal 22–24°C baseline, while clearer intervals might allow greater cooling toward 19–20°C. Humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns from the Sichuan basin further widen uncertainty bands, with updated model runs expected to clarify whether precipitation arrives before dawn on the 23rd.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$69Fecha de finalización
23 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see closely matched probabilities across 19–25°C ranges for Chengdu’s August 23 minimum because short-range forecast models diverge on nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and scattered showers. The China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles show a moist monsoon flow that could enhance cloudiness, limiting overnight temperature drops below the seasonal 22–24°C baseline, while clearer intervals might allow greater cooling toward 19–20°C. Humidity, urban heat retention, and steering patterns from the Sichuan basin further widen uncertainty bands, with updated model runs expected to clarify whether precipitation arrives before dawn on the 23rd.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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