**Tropical Manila's August minimum temperatures are shaped by the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Official PAGASA forecasts for August 21, 2026, project a daily range of 25–29°C with a 60% rain chance, consistent with historical August averages of 24–26°C lows. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustering around 25–28°C, as extensive cloudiness and moisture trap heat and suppress drops below 24°C. No significant cold surges or atypical circulation patterns have emerged recently, keeping the distribution tightly centered on typical monsoon values while assigning negligible odds to extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 21 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 21 de agosto?
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
58%
24°C
58%
25°C
59%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
45%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 34%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$49 Vol.
1%
23°C
$98 Vol.
58%
24°C
$104 Vol.
58%
25°C
$94 Vol.
59%
26°C
$0 Vol.
34%
27°C
$0 Vol.
34%
28°C
$10 Vol.
45%
29°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Tropical Manila's August minimum temperatures are shaped by the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Official PAGASA forecasts for August 21, 2026, project a daily range of 25–29°C with a 60% rain chance, consistent with historical August averages of 24–26°C lows. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustering around 25–28°C, as extensive cloudiness and moisture trap heat and suppress drops below 24°C. No significant cold surges or atypical circulation patterns have emerged recently, keeping the distribution tightly centered on typical monsoon values while assigning negligible odds to extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Volumen
$775Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Tropical Manila's August minimum temperatures are shaped by the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Official PAGASA forecasts for August 21, 2026, project a daily range of 25–29°C with a 60% rain chance, consistent with historical August averages of 24–26°C lows. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustering around 25–28°C, as extensive cloudiness and moisture trap heat and suppress drops below 24°C. No significant cold surges or atypical circulation patterns have emerged recently, keeping the distribution tightly centered on typical monsoon values while assigning negligible odds to extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$775Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Tropical Manila's August minimum temperatures are shaped by the southwest monsoon, which delivers persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling.** Official PAGASA forecasts for August 21, 2026, project a daily range of 25–29°C with a 60% rain chance, consistent with historical August averages of 24–26°C lows. These conditions favor market-implied probabilities clustering around 25–28°C, as extensive cloudiness and moisture trap heat and suppress drops below 24°C. No significant cold surges or atypical circulation patterns have emerged recently, keeping the distribution tightly centered on typical monsoon values while assigning negligible odds to extremes below 23°C or above 29°C. Updated model runs and monitoring agency briefings remain the key near-term catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes