Recent Met Office guidance points to a 23°C daytime maximum for London on August 20 amid a northerly flow and possible scattered showers, aligning with the market’s narrow clustering around 22–24°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while regional climatology shows mid-August averages near 22°C with a typical 3–5°C diurnal range. Short-range updates from the Met Office and ECMWF will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution, where even modest shifts in insolation or wind could differentiate outcomes within the tightly bunched probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 20 de agosto?
23°C 29%
22°C 23%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
23%
23°C
29%
24°C
20%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
23°C 29%
22°C 23%
24°C 20%
21°C 16%
19°C or below
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
16%
22°C
23%
23°C
29%
24°C
20%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office guidance points to a 23°C daytime maximum for London on August 20 amid a northerly flow and possible scattered showers, aligning with the market’s narrow clustering around 22–24°C. Ensemble model spreads and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak heating, while regional climatology shows mid-August averages near 22°C with a typical 3–5°C diurnal range. Short-range updates from the Met Office and ECMWF will refine steering patterns and precipitation timing ahead of resolution, where even modest shifts in insolation or wind could differentiate outcomes within the tightly bunched probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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