Recent cooling following the mid-August heatwave across northern France has centered trader focus on 22–24°C highs for Paris on August 19, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble model spreads reflecting modest variability. Post-heat advection of cooler Atlantic air, combined with variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, primarily differentiates these outcomes; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could support 24°C, while increased moisture or earlier frontal influence favors 22°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges around seasonal normals near 24°C add further nuance. Updated short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, plus official Météo-France briefings, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 19 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 19 de agosto?
23°C 37%
24°C 37%
22°C 21%
25°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
7%
22°C
23%
23°C
30%
24°C
28%
25°C
11%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 37%
24°C 37%
22°C 21%
25°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 ago 2026
19°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
20°C
$8 Vol.
5%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$178 Vol.
23%
23°C
$9 Vol.
30%
24°C
$3 Vol.
28%
25°C
$105 Vol.
11%
26°C
$0 Vol.
5%
27°C
$103 Vol.
3%
28°C
$5 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following the mid-August heatwave across northern France has centered trader focus on 22–24°C highs for Paris on August 19, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble model spreads reflecting modest variability. Post-heat advection of cooler Atlantic air, combined with variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, primarily differentiates these outcomes; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could support 24°C, while increased moisture or earlier frontal influence favors 22°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges around seasonal normals near 24°C add further nuance. Updated short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, plus official Météo-France briefings, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$420Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cooling following the mid-August heatwave across northern France has centered trader focus on 22–24°C highs for Paris on August 19, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble model spreads reflecting modest variability. Post-heat advection of cooler Atlantic air, combined with variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, primarily differentiates these outcomes; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could support 24°C, while increased moisture or earlier frontal influence favors 22°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges around seasonal normals near 24°C add further nuance. Updated short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, plus official Météo-France briefings, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$420Fecha de finalización
19 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooling following the mid-August heatwave across northern France has centered trader focus on 22–24°C highs for Paris on August 19, with Météo-France guidance and ensemble model spreads reflecting modest variability. Post-heat advection of cooler Atlantic air, combined with variable cloud cover modulating solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, primarily differentiates these outcomes; stronger subsidence or clearer skies could support 24°C, while increased moisture or earlier frontal influence favors 22°C. Urban heat-island effects and typical diurnal ranges around seasonal normals near 24°C add further nuance. Updated short-range forecasts from ECMWF and GFS, plus official Météo-France briefings, will likely refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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