Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 near 22 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tightly bunched market-implied odds favoring 21–23 °C, where modest differences in predicted cloud breaks or precipitation timing can shift the peak by 1 °C. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to maintain moderate southwesterly flow, keeping values close to the August climatological average while suppressing stronger warming. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the ECMWF and GFS, will refine the exact balance between insolation and evaporative cooling from any rainfall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 18 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 18 de agosto?
22°C 32%
21°C 25%
23°C 17%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
6%
20°C
11%
21°C
25%
22°C
32%
23°C
17%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 32%
21°C 25%
23°C 17%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 ago 2026
15°C or below
$304 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$121 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$13 Vol.
1%
19°C
$9 Vol.
6%
20°C
$56 Vol.
11%
21°C
$71 Vol.
25%
22°C
$28 Vol.
32%
23°C
$149 Vol.
17%
24°C
$354 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 near 22 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tightly bunched market-implied odds favoring 21–23 °C, where modest differences in predicted cloud breaks or precipitation timing can shift the peak by 1 °C. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to maintain moderate southwesterly flow, keeping values close to the August climatological average while suppressing stronger warming. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the ECMWF and GFS, will refine the exact balance between insolation and evaporative cooling from any rainfall.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,138Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 near 22 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tightly bunched market-implied odds favoring 21–23 °C, where modest differences in predicted cloud breaks or precipitation timing can shift the peak by 1 °C. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to maintain moderate southwesterly flow, keeping values close to the August climatological average while suppressing stronger warming. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the ECMWF and GFS, will refine the exact balance between insolation and evaporative cooling from any rainfall.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,138Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from European and global ensembles points to a maximum temperature in Munich on August 18 near 22 °C, driven by persistent cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. This aligns with the tightly bunched market-implied odds favoring 21–23 °C, where modest differences in predicted cloud breaks or precipitation timing can shift the peak by 1 °C. A transient ridge of high pressure is expected to maintain moderate southwesterly flow, keeping values close to the August climatological average while suppressing stronger warming. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours, particularly from the ECMWF and GFS, will refine the exact balance between insolation and evaporative cooling from any rainfall.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes