Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. This positioning stems from moderate Atlantic flow and seasonal norms for mid-August, with daytime highs typically reaching 21°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers that limit strong diurnal heating. Historical baselines show similar conditions yield peaks near 21–22°C without extremes, while current model agreement reduces upside risk from unusual warming. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from KNMI in the coming 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 20 de agosto?
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
7%
20°C
25%
21°C
42%
22°C
22%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 42%
20°C 25%
22°C 22%
19°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
15°C or below
$65 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$21 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$239 Vol.
1%
18°C
$163 Vol.
3%
19°C
$78 Vol.
7%
20°C
$342 Vol.
25%
21°C
$229 Vol.
42%
22°C
$424 Vol.
22%
23°C
$99 Vol.
6%
24°C
$15 Vol.
2%
25°C or higher
$23 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. This positioning stems from moderate Atlantic flow and seasonal norms for mid-August, with daytime highs typically reaching 21°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers that limit strong diurnal heating. Historical baselines show similar conditions yield peaks near 21–22°C without extremes, while current model agreement reduces upside risk from unusual warming. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from KNMI in the coming 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,697Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. This positioning stems from moderate Atlantic flow and seasonal norms for mid-August, with daytime highs typically reaching 21°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers that limit strong diurnal heating. Historical baselines show similar conditions yield peaks near 21–22°C without extremes, while current model agreement reduces upside risk from unusual warming. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from KNMI in the coming 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,697Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European meteorological models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 20–22°C in Amsterdam on August 20, aligning with trader consensus reflected in the leading implied probabilities. This positioning stems from moderate Atlantic flow and seasonal norms for mid-August, with daytime highs typically reaching 21°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers that limit strong diurnal heating. Historical baselines show similar conditions yield peaks near 21–22°C without extremes, while current model agreement reduces upside risk from unusual warming. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from KNMI in the coming 48 hours could refine these odds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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