**Recent model guidance from MetService and other agencies points to a high-pressure system building over the North Island by August 20, bringing lighter winds, partly cloudy skies, and daytime maxima in the 11–13°C range for Wellington.** This setup follows a period of cooler southerly flows and polar air intrusions that kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. August climatology for Wellington centers on 12°C daytime maxima, with variability driven by cloud cover, wind strength, and exact high-pressure positioning. Current forecasts show minor model spread: some runs favor 11–12°C under lingering showers or stronger southerlies, while others edge toward 13°C with clearer breaks and reduced mixing. The near-even split between the 12°C (46.5%) and 13°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects this tight uncertainty window, with traders closely tracking the next model updates and any revisions to wind or cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 20 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wellington el 20 de agosto?
12°C 48%
13°C 45%
11°C 8%
10°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
4%
11°C
8%
12°C
48%
13°C
45%
14°C
3%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
1%
12°C 48%
13°C 45%
11°C 8%
10°C 4%
NUEVO
NUEVO
20 ago 2026
6°C or below
$196 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$196 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$50 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$20 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$18 Vol.
4%
11°C
$51 Vol.
8%
12°C
$217 Vol.
48%
13°C
$161 Vol.
45%
14°C
$11 Vol.
3%
15°C
$5 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$17 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model guidance from MetService and other agencies points to a high-pressure system building over the North Island by August 20, bringing lighter winds, partly cloudy skies, and daytime maxima in the 11–13°C range for Wellington.** This setup follows a period of cooler southerly flows and polar air intrusions that kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages.
August climatology for Wellington centers on 12°C daytime maxima, with variability driven by cloud cover, wind strength, and exact high-pressure positioning. Current forecasts show minor model spread: some runs favor 11–12°C under lingering showers or stronger southerlies, while others edge toward 13°C with clearer breaks and reduced mixing. The near-even split between the 12°C (46.5%) and 13°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects this tight uncertainty window, with traders closely tracking the next model updates and any revisions to wind or cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$941Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model guidance from MetService and other agencies points to a high-pressure system building over the North Island by August 20, bringing lighter winds, partly cloudy skies, and daytime maxima in the 11–13°C range for Wellington.** This setup follows a period of cooler southerly flows and polar air intrusions that kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages.
August climatology for Wellington centers on 12°C daytime maxima, with variability driven by cloud cover, wind strength, and exact high-pressure positioning. Current forecasts show minor model spread: some runs favor 11–12°C under lingering showers or stronger southerlies, while others edge toward 13°C with clearer breaks and reduced mixing. The near-even split between the 12°C (46.5%) and 13°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects this tight uncertainty window, with traders closely tracking the next model updates and any revisions to wind or cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$941Fecha de finalización
20 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent model guidance from MetService and other agencies points to a high-pressure system building over the North Island by August 20, bringing lighter winds, partly cloudy skies, and daytime maxima in the 11–13°C range for Wellington.** This setup follows a period of cooler southerly flows and polar air intrusions that kept recent highs near or below seasonal averages. August climatology for Wellington centers on 12°C daytime maxima, with variability driven by cloud cover, wind strength, and exact high-pressure positioning. Current forecasts show minor model spread: some runs favor 11–12°C under lingering showers or stronger southerlies, while others edge toward 13°C with clearer breaks and reduced mixing. The near-even split between the 12°C (46.5%) and 13°C (47.5%) market outcomes reflects this tight uncertainty window, with traders closely tracking the next model updates and any revisions to wind or cloud forecasts ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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