Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather places Warsaw's August 22 maximum near 21–23 °C under cloudy skies and light rain, keeping 21 °C and 22 °C tied at 36.5 % each. Ensemble spread and differing boundary-layer moisture projections create the narrow gap between these outcomes, while higher probabilities for 23 °C (14 %) reflect residual warm-air advection scenarios. Cooler 20 °C or below outcomes (12–16 %) gain support from stronger frontal passage signals that enhance cloud cover and suppress insolation. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) provides context, yet the short-term steering pattern and precipitation timing dominate trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 22 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 22 de agosto?
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
23°C 14%
20°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
4%
20°C
10%
21°C
37%
22°C
37%
23°C
14%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 37%
22°C 37%
23°C 14%
20°C 10%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
16°C or below
$372 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$356 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$203 Vol.
1%
19°C
$191 Vol.
4%
20°C
$536 Vol.
10%
21°C
$277 Vol.
37%
22°C
$535 Vol.
37%
23°C
$403 Vol.
14%
24°C
$108 Vol.
3%
25°C
$251 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$520 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather places Warsaw's August 22 maximum near 21–23 °C under cloudy skies and light rain, keeping 21 °C and 22 °C tied at 36.5 % each. Ensemble spread and differing boundary-layer moisture projections create the narrow gap between these outcomes, while higher probabilities for 23 °C (14 %) reflect residual warm-air advection scenarios. Cooler 20 °C or below outcomes (12–16 %) gain support from stronger frontal passage signals that enhance cloud cover and suppress insolation. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) provides context, yet the short-term steering pattern and precipitation timing dominate trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$3,753Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather places Warsaw's August 22 maximum near 21–23 °C under cloudy skies and light rain, keeping 21 °C and 22 °C tied at 36.5 % each. Ensemble spread and differing boundary-layer moisture projections create the narrow gap between these outcomes, while higher probabilities for 23 °C (14 %) reflect residual warm-air advection scenarios. Cooler 20 °C or below outcomes (12–16 %) gain support from stronger frontal passage signals that enhance cloud cover and suppress insolation. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) provides context, yet the short-term steering pattern and precipitation timing dominate trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,753Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the UK Met Office and AccuWeather places Warsaw's August 22 maximum near 21–23 °C under cloudy skies and light rain, keeping 21 °C and 22 °C tied at 36.5 % each. Ensemble spread and differing boundary-layer moisture projections create the narrow gap between these outcomes, while higher probabilities for 23 °C (14 %) reflect residual warm-air advection scenarios. Cooler 20 °C or below outcomes (12–16 %) gain support from stronger frontal passage signals that enhance cloud cover and suppress insolation. Historical August climatology (average highs ~22–23 °C) provides context, yet the short-term steering pattern and precipitation timing dominate trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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