Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 22 will likely range between 17–21°C under continued sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes moderating temperatures. This scientific consensus, aligned with August climatology showing typical minima near 18–20°C, drives elevated implied probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes as traders weigh model agreement on limited nocturnal cooling. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while minor forecast revisions could still shift exact readings within the 19–23°C band ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 22 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 22 de agosto?
28°C or higher 80%
21°C 42%
22°C 42%
20°C 41%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
3%
19°C
40%
20°C
41%
21°C
42%
22°C
42%
23°C
49%
24°C
41%
25°C
4%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
80%
28°C or higher 80%
21°C 42%
22°C 42%
20°C 41%
NUEVO
NUEVO
22 ago 2026
18°C or below
$81 Vol.
3%
19°C
$48 Vol.
40%
20°C
$0 Vol.
41%
21°C
$0 Vol.
42%
22°C
$0 Vol.
42%
23°C
$14 Vol.
49%
24°C
$0 Vol.
41%
25°C
$97 Vol.
4%
26°C
$30 Vol.
7%
27°C
$20 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$101 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 22 will likely range between 17–21°C under continued sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes moderating temperatures. This scientific consensus, aligned with August climatology showing typical minima near 18–20°C, drives elevated implied probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes as traders weigh model agreement on limited nocturnal cooling. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while minor forecast revisions could still shift exact readings within the 19–23°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volumen
$334Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 22 will likely range between 17–21°C under continued sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes moderating temperatures. This scientific consensus, aligned with August climatology showing typical minima near 18–20°C, drives elevated implied probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes as traders weigh model agreement on limited nocturnal cooling. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while minor forecast revisions could still shift exact readings within the 19–23°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$334Fecha de finalización
22 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC indicate Istanbul's overnight low on August 22 will likely range between 17–21°C under continued sunny conditions with moderate northerly flow and Bosphorus sea breezes moderating temperatures. This scientific consensus, aligned with August climatology showing typical minima near 18–20°C, drives elevated implied probabilities for 21–24°C outcomes as traders weigh model agreement on limited nocturnal cooling. Stable high-pressure patterns and light winds reduce the chance of sharper drops below 18°C, while minor forecast revisions could still shift exact readings within the 19–23°C band ahead of final observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes