Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlight mostly sunny conditions with daytime highs in Istanbul likely peaking near 28–30°C on August 21, driven by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that limits cloud cover while allowing moderate sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, supporting trader emphasis on the 26–28°C range as the highest probability band. Historical August climatology (average highs near 29°C) provides context, yet slight downward revisions in the latest model runs—reflecting subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures—have reinforced consensus around the mid-to-upper 20s, keeping lower outcomes like 27°C as the market leader amid typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 21 de agosto?
27°C 47%
26°C 25%
28°C 24%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
47%
28°C
24%
29°C
6%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
26°C 25%
28°C 24%
29°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
22°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
23°C
$27 Vol.
1%
24°C
$27 Vol.
3%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$219 Vol.
25%
27°C
$4 Vol.
47%
28°C
$15 Vol.
24%
29°C
$56 Vol.
6%
30°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$34 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlight mostly sunny conditions with daytime highs in Istanbul likely peaking near 28–30°C on August 21, driven by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that limits cloud cover while allowing moderate sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, supporting trader emphasis on the 26–28°C range as the highest probability band. Historical August climatology (average highs near 29°C) provides context, yet slight downward revisions in the latest model runs—reflecting subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures—have reinforced consensus around the mid-to-upper 20s, keeping lower outcomes like 27°C as the market leader amid typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$444Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlight mostly sunny conditions with daytime highs in Istanbul likely peaking near 28–30°C on August 21, driven by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that limits cloud cover while allowing moderate sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, supporting trader emphasis on the 26–28°C range as the highest probability band. Historical August climatology (average highs near 29°C) provides context, yet slight downward revisions in the latest model runs—reflecting subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures—have reinforced consensus around the mid-to-upper 20s, keeping lower outcomes like 27°C as the market leader amid typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$444Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models highlight mostly sunny conditions with daytime highs in Istanbul likely peaking near 28–30°C on August 21, driven by persistent high pressure and light northerly flow that limits cloud cover while allowing moderate sea-breeze moderation along the Bosphorus. Ensemble guidance shows limited day-to-day variability this close to the event, supporting trader emphasis on the 26–28°C range as the highest probability band. Historical August climatology (average highs near 29°C) provides context, yet slight downward revisions in the latest model runs—reflecting subtle shifts in 850 hPa temperatures—have reinforced consensus around the mid-to-upper 20s, keeping lower outcomes like 27°C as the market leader amid typical forecast uncertainty of ±1–2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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