Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid's August 21 high will likely settle near 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and light winds favoring typical late-summer radiative heating rather than extreme advection. This aligns with climatological norms for the period (historical August mean highs around 31°C) and follows a June heatwave that has since eased, reducing the chance of anomalous warmth. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while any late-model shift in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 21 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Madrid el 21 de agosto?
31°C 49%
32°C 22%
30°C 14%
33°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
14%
31°C
49%
32°C
22%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 22%
30°C 14%
33°C 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
21 ago 2026
27°C or below
$114 Vol.
1%
28°C
$10 Vol.
2%
29°C
$42 Vol.
4%
30°C
$111 Vol.
14%
31°C
$199 Vol.
49%
32°C
$114 Vol.
22%
33°C
$43 Vol.
5%
34°C
$36 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$10 Vol.
2%
36°C
$106 Vol.
1%
37°C or higher
$117 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid's August 21 high will likely settle near 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and light winds favoring typical late-summer radiative heating rather than extreme advection. This aligns with climatological norms for the period (historical August mean highs around 31°C) and follows a June heatwave that has since eased, reducing the chance of anomalous warmth. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while any late-model shift in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$901Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid's August 21 high will likely settle near 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and light winds favoring typical late-summer radiative heating rather than extreme advection. This aligns with climatological norms for the period (historical August mean highs around 31°C) and follows a June heatwave that has since eased, reducing the chance of anomalous warmth. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while any late-model shift in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$901Fecha de finalización
21 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and ensemble models indicate Madrid's August 21 high will likely settle near 30–32°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, with limited moisture and light winds favoring typical late-summer radiative heating rather than extreme advection. This aligns with climatological norms for the period (historical August mean highs around 31°C) and follows a June heatwave that has since eased, reducing the chance of anomalous warmth. Ensemble spread remains modest, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes, while any late-model shift in steering flow or cloud cover could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes