Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 31 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 31 de julio?
30°C 52%
29°C 33%
31°C 8%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
$15,417 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,417 Vol.
31 jul 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
6%
29°C
33%
30°C
52%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C o más
<1%
30°C 52%
29°C 33%
31°C 8%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
$15,417 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,417 Vol.
31 jul 2026
27°C or below
$741 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,329 Vol.
6%
29°C
$2,088 Vol.
33%
30°C
$4,268 Vol.
52%
31°C
$1,290 Vol.
8%
32°C
$930 Vol.
2%
33°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,208 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,755 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
37°C o más
$706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volumen
$15,417Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$15,417Fecha de finalización
31 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS show Paris maximum temperatures on July 31 hovering near the 28–30°C threshold, with slight differences in predicted boundary-layer warmth, insolation, and low-level advection under a weak high-pressure ridge driving the tight 26.5%–25.5% split between 29°C and 30°C. Urban heat-island effects in central Paris can add 1–2°C locally compared with surrounding stations, while any increase in afternoon cloud cover or northerly flow would cap readings at the lower end. With resolution based on official Météo-France observations, traders weigh the latest model runs and verification against climatological July averages of 24–27°C, noting that small errors in timing of peak heating often decide the exact degree.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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