Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 23 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 23 de julio?
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 10%
NUEVO
$11,271 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,271 Vol.
23 jul 2026
57°F o menos
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
38%
70-71°F
33%
72-73°F
16%
74-75°F
3%
76°F o más
<1%
68-69°F 38%
70-71°F 33%
72-73°F 16%
66-67°F 10%
NUEVO
$11,271 Vol.
NUEVO
$11,271 Vol.
23 jul 2026
57°F o menos
$337 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$681 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$320 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$186 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$505 Vol.
2%
66-67°F
$569 Vol.
10%
68-69°F
$592 Vol.
38%
70-71°F
$6,286 Vol.
33%
72-73°F
$1,286 Vol.
16%
74-75°F
$218 Vol.
3%
76°F o más
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volumen
$11,271Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$11,271Fecha de finalización
23 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 21, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecast uncertainty around the marine layer and onshore flow is the main driver behind the closely matched market odds favoring a San Francisco high of 68–71°F on July 23. National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models show modest afternoon warming as stratus clears, with sea-surface temperatures near seasonal norms and light winds limiting further rise above the upper 60s. Historical July maxima average near 69°F, but day-to-day variability from coastal eddy timing and inversion strength creates genuine spread across the 66–73°F bins. Updated model runs and afternoon observations tomorrow will refine the exact peak before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes