Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum of 26–28 °C for São Paulo on August 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical dry-season insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming under high pressure, with limited moisture to moderate temperatures, though slight differences in cloud timing or urban heat effects across stations can shift the exact peak by 1–2 °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28 °C because recent observations and short-range guidance have converged on this narrow band, while lower odds for 29 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of stronger warming absent a significant forecast shift before peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Sao Paulo el 16 de agosto?
28°C 29%
26°C 25%
27°C 22%
29°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
29%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 29%
26°C 25%
27°C 22%
29°C 16%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
25%
27°C
22%
28°C
29%
29°C
16%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 15, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum of 26–28 °C for São Paulo on August 16, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light easterly winds, and typical dry-season insolation during Southern Hemisphere winter. Model consensus shows modest afternoon warming under high pressure, with limited moisture to moderate temperatures, though slight differences in cloud timing or urban heat effects across stations can shift the exact peak by 1–2 °C. Trader probabilities cluster tightly around 26–28 °C because recent observations and short-range guidance have converged on this narrow band, while lower odds for 29 °C or above reflect the low likelihood of stronger warming absent a significant forecast shift before peak heating.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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