Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
Highest temperature in Seattle on May 22?
64°F or higher 95.3%
62-63°F 2.1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NUEVO
$33,433 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,433 Vol.
22 may 2026
45°F or below
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
2%
64°F or higher
95%
64°F or higher 95.3%
62-63°F 2.1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
NUEVO
$33,433 Vol.
NUEVO
$33,433 Vol.
22 may 2026
45°F or below
$958 Vol.
<1%
46-47°F
$6,319 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$6,560 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$6,898 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$6,455 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$455 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$659 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,088 Vol.
2%
64°F or higher
$3,176 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$33,433Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,433Fecha de finalización
22 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 20, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Seattle will reach a daytime high in the low 70s on May 22, well above the 64°F threshold that carries 96% market-implied odds. Recent upper-level ridging and northerly flow have suppressed marine influence, allowing clear skies and above-normal May temperatures to develop across the Puget Sound region. Ensemble consensus from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts shows limited spread around this outcome, with only modest cloud increases possible late in the day. Historical climatology places typical late-May highs near 68°F, so the current setup represents a modestly warm but not extreme anomaly. Any significant westward shift in the ridge or earlier onshore push could trim readings a few degrees, yet latest model runs keep the probability of falling below 64°F below 5%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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