Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 21 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Taipéi el 21 de julio?
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,754 Vol.
$53,754 Vol.
21 jul 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$53,754 Vol.
$53,754 Vol.
21 jul 2026
29°C or below
$405 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,533 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$6,711 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$3,439 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$13,593 Vol.
100%
35°C
$8,242 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$7,642 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$6,408 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$3,579 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$1,911 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$53,754Fecha de finalización
21 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$53,754Fecha de finalización
21 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 19, 2026, 12:04 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-term forecasts from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration highlight typical midsummer subtropical high pressure and strong solar heating as the main drivers pushing Taipei's July 21 maximum into the mid-30s°C range, with 36°C currently commanding the highest trader-implied probability. Afternoon instability and scattered thundershowers introduce key uncertainty, as increased cloud cover or localized convection could limit peak readings to 35°C or allow brief spikes toward 37°C amid high humidity and the urban heat island effect. Historical July climatology for northern Taiwan shows average highs near 33–35°C, making model consensus on steering patterns and boundary-layer moisture the decisive variables ahead of daily CWA updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes