Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 27 de junio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 27 de junio?
35°C 45%
36°C 39%
34°C 15%
37°C 4.7%
$38,003 Vol.
$38,003 Vol.
27 jun 2026
30°C o menos
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
15%
35°C
45%
36°C
39%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C o más
<1%
35°C 45%
36°C 39%
34°C 15%
37°C 4.7%
$38,003 Vol.
$38,003 Vol.
27 jun 2026
30°C o menos
$2,078 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,530 Vol.
1%
32°C
$2,650 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,675 Vol.
1%
34°C
$3,178 Vol.
15%
35°C
$17,615 Vol.
45%
36°C
$2,669 Vol.
39%
37°C
$2,410 Vol.
5%
38°C
$1,624 Vol.
1%
39°C
$911 Vol.
<1%
40°C o más
$673 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volumen
$38,003Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$38,003Fecha de finalización
27 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 25, 2026, 1:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the ECMWF and GFS show a building high-pressure ridge over central Europe driving southerly warm-air advection and clear skies over Warsaw, supporting peak temperatures near 35–36°C on June 27. These conditions favor strong daytime insolation with limited cloud cover or precipitation, consistent with the closely matched market-implied odds for those two outcomes. Minor differences between 35°C and 36°C hinge on small variations in boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and local urban heat effects, while lower probabilities for 37°C+ reflect limited model support for stronger warming. Updated short-range runs and official observations in the next 48 hours will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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