Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$138,944 Vol.
$138,944 Vol.
<40 mil millones
12%
40-50B
6%
50-60 mil millones
39%
60-70 mil millones
10%
70-80 mil millones
23%
80-90 mil millones
19%
90-100 mil millones
6%
100-110 mil millones
3%
110-120B
4%
120 mil millones o más
8%
$138,944 Vol.
$138,944 Vol.
<40 mil millones
$10,245 Vol.
12%
40-50B
$5,642 Vol.
6%
50-60 mil millones
$33,182 Vol.
39%
60-70 mil millones
$14,185 Vol.
10%
70-80 mil millones
$24,628 Vol.
23%
80-90 mil millones
$15,593 Vol.
19%
90-100 mil millones
$10,727 Vol.
6%
100-110 mil millones
$7,565 Vol.
3%
110-120B
$9,411 Vol.
4%
120 mil millones o más
$7,767 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volumen
$138,944Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the total gross proceeds raised by SpaceX in its initial public offering (IPO) at the time of pricing.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The amount raised is defined as the aggregate dollar value of shares sold at the final offering price at the time of IPO pricing, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Shares sold pursuant to any overallotment option (greenshoe) will not be considered.
Secondary sales of existing shares by current shareholders will be included only to the extent that they are part of the IPO offering at pricing and reflected in the total gross proceeds. Private secondary transactions conducted outside of the IPO will not be considered.
If the total proceeds fall exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$138,944Mercado abierto
Mar 25, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50-60 billion dollar IPO raise for SpaceX at 37.1% implied probability, reflecting caution around aggressive $1.75 trillion valuation targets amid secondary market pricing of roughly 1.2-1.3 trillion dollars as of May 14, with Forge shares at $642. Recent confidential S-1 filing in April 2026 revealed $24.8 billion cash reserves, Starlink revenue projections nearing $24 billion for 2026, and heavy $20 billion-plus AI capex, fueling 70-80 billion dollar odds at 23% on filing hype but capping enthusiasm due to Musk's dual-class control and Starship execution risks. Public S-1 expected week of May 18, with June roadshow as key catalyst.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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