Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
<1% probabilidad
$279,011 Vol.
$279,011 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
<1% probabilidad
$279,011 Vol.
$279,011 Vol.
31 dic 2026
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ET
Volumen
$279,011Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
The Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum is a ballot referendum in which voters will be asked whether Iceland should restart membership negotiations with the European Union. This referendum is currently scheduled to be held on August 29, 2026. You can find more information about the referendum here: https://government.is/topics/foreign-affairs/iceland-in-europe/referendum/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iceland passes this referendum. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the election is officially rescheduled to a date prior to December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to "no" if no qualifying referendum vote is passed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if such a referendum is scheduled to be held later than such date.
The resolution source will be based on the official certified results of the vote as published by the National Electoral Commission of Iceland. Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volumen
$279,011Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 11:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iceland's August 29, 2026, referendum on resuming EU accession negotiations produced a clear rejection, with 52.84% voting no and 47.16% yes amid 82.5% turnout. Fisheries sovereignty, rural opposition to ceding control over quotas, and preference for maintaining the existing EEA framework outweighed arguments for greater security ties or trade stability amid Arctic tensions. Prime Minister Kristrún Frostadóttir's government has stated the issue will not advance during its term, aligning with historical patterns where narrow defeats on EU matters stalled further action. Trader consensus at 99.9% for no reflects this settled outcome and official results, though formal withdrawal of the long-dormant application or future coalition shifts after 2028 could theoretically reopen debate.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Votará Groenlandia por la independencia en 2026?
4%
Sí
¿Será aprobado el decreto federal del 19 de junio de 2026 sobre la financiación adicional del AVS mediante un aumento del IVA en la votación popular del 29 de noviembre de 2026 en Suiza?
72%
Sí
¿Será aprobada la iniciativa Por una alimentación segura – mediante el fortalecimiento de la producción nacional sostenible, el aumento de los alimentos de origen vegetal y la garantía de agua potable limpia (iniciativa alimentaria) en la votación popular del 27 de septiembre de 2026 en Suiza?
3%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes