Switzerland's November 29, 2026, referendums include a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material governing exports and controls. Trader sentiment, reflected in market pricing, assigns higher implied probabilities to the VAT decree and war material changes, consistent with patterns where government-backed mandatory measures often secure broader support than citizen initiatives. The fireworks and marriage taxation proposals, as popular initiatives, face higher hurdles under Switzerland's direct democracy rules requiring double majorities in some cases. Recent September 2026 polling on unrelated neutrality and food initiatives showed clear rejection trends for stricter right-leaning measures, providing indirect context on voter caution toward new restrictions ahead of the November ballot. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter baseline assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoReferéndum de noviembre en Suiza: ¿Qué pasará?
Referéndum de noviembre en Suiza: ¿Qué pasará?
NUEVO
28 nov 2026
Decreto federal sobre el IVA
62%
Iniciativa para restringir los fuegos artificiales
21%
Iniciativa sobre la fiscalidad del matrimonio
20%
Enmienda sobre material de guerra
54%
$7,678 Vol.
Decreto federal sobre el IVA
$1,244 Vol.
62%
Iniciativa para restringir los fuegos artificiales
$4,854 Vol.
21%
Iniciativa sobre la fiscalidad del matrimonio
$1,270 Vol.
20%
Enmienda sobre material de guerra
$310 Vol.
54%
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Switzerland's November 29, 2026, referendums include a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material governing exports and controls. Trader sentiment, reflected in market pricing, assigns higher implied probabilities to the VAT decree and war material changes, consistent with patterns where government-backed mandatory measures often secure broader support than citizen initiatives. The fireworks and marriage taxation proposals, as popular initiatives, face higher hurdles under Switzerland's direct democracy rules requiring double majorities in some cases. Recent September 2026 polling on unrelated neutrality and food initiatives showed clear rejection trends for stricter right-leaning measures, providing indirect context on voter caution toward new restrictions ahead of the November ballot. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter baseline assessments.
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Volumen
$7,678Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Switzerland's November 29, 2026, referendums include a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material governing exports and controls. Trader sentiment, reflected in market pricing, assigns higher implied probabilities to the VAT decree and war material changes, consistent with patterns where government-backed mandatory measures often secure broader support than citizen initiatives. The fireworks and marriage taxation proposals, as popular initiatives, face higher hurdles under Switzerland's direct democracy rules requiring double majorities in some cases. Recent September 2026 polling on unrelated neutrality and food initiatives showed clear rejection trends for stricter right-leaning measures, providing indirect context on voter caution toward new restrictions ahead of the November ballot. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter baseline assessments.
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,678Fecha de finalización
29 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Switzerland's November 29, 2026, referendums include a mandatory federal decree raising VAT to fund the AVS old-age pension system, a popular initiative restricting fireworks, another initiative ending federal tax disadvantages for married couples, and an amendment to the Federal Act on War Material governing exports and controls. Trader sentiment, reflected in market pricing, assigns higher implied probabilities to the VAT decree and war material changes, consistent with patterns where government-backed mandatory measures often secure broader support than citizen initiatives. The fireworks and marriage taxation proposals, as popular initiatives, face higher hurdles under Switzerland's direct democracy rules requiring double majorities in some cases. Recent September 2026 polling on unrelated neutrality and food initiatives showed clear rejection trends for stricter right-leaning measures, providing indirect context on voter caution toward new restrictions ahead of the November ballot. No major new developments have emerged in the past month to alter baseline assessments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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