Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 13 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Miami el 13 de julio?
82-83°F 96%
78-79°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
76-77°F <1%
$8,997 Vol.
$8,997 Vol.
13 jul 2026
73°F o menos
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
96%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F o más
<1%
82-83°F 96%
78-79°F 6%
80-81°F 5%
76-77°F <1%
$8,997 Vol.
$8,997 Vol.
13 jul 2026
73°F o menos
$1,420 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$1,917 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$794 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$709 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$432 Vol.
5%
82-83°F
$1,017 Vol.
96%
84-85°F
$995 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$637 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$397 Vol.
<1%
92°F o más
$342 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ET
Volumen
$8,997Fecha de finalización
13 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,997Fecha de finalización
13 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2026, 11:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows notable uncertainty in Miami's overnight minimum for July 13, with the 73°F-or-below outcome at 39% implied probability closely matched by the 80–81°F and 82–83°F bins near 38%. Key scientific drivers include subtropical ridge positioning that modulates wind flow and moisture advection from the warm Gulf Stream, plus variable cloud cover and potential convective activity that alter radiative cooling rates. National Weather Service ensemble guidance exhibits spread in boundary-layer humidity and low-level wind shear, which can shift minima by several degrees. July climatology places typical lows near 76–78°F, underscoring how small forecast deviations in these factors sustain the dispersed market odds ahead of the next model update cycle.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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