**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 14 de julio?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seúl el 14 de julio?
25°C 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 2.8%
22°C 1.1%
NUEVO
$10,609 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,609 Vol.
14 jul 2026
20°C o menos
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
22%
25°C
74%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o más
<1%
25°C 74%
24°C 22%
23°C 2.8%
22°C 1.1%
NUEVO
$10,609 Vol.
NUEVO
$10,609 Vol.
14 jul 2026
20°C o menos
$632 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$797 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,133 Vol.
1%
23°C
$869 Vol.
3%
24°C
$661 Vol.
22%
25°C
$977 Vol.
74%
26°C
$1,110 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,665 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$808 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$637 Vol.
<1%
30°C o más
$1,321 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$10,609Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$10,609Fecha de finalización
14 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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