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Política·Primarias Del 23 De Junio

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner
Política·Primarias Del 23 De Junio

MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner

Glenn Ivey 96.9%

Joseph Gomes 15%

Jonathan White 12%

Jakeya Johnson 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Glenn Ivey 96.9%

Joseph Gomes 15%

Jonathan White 12%

Jakeya Johnson 12%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Glenn Ivey

$356 Vol.

97%

Joseph Gomes

$45 Vol.

15%

Jonathan White

$50 Vol.

12%

Jakeya Johnson

$90 Vol.

12%

Shavonne Hedgepeth

$50 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 4th congressional district, reflecting his established position, substantial fundraising edge, and key endorsements including from Governor Wes Moore. The solidly Democratic district has favored Ivey in prior cycles, with his last primary win exceeding 84 percent, while challengers such as Joseph Gomes, Jakeya Johnson, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jonathan White show limited visibility and resources. Trader consensus prices this outcome near certainty, consistent with historical patterns for well-funded incumbents facing low-profile opposition. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result remain narrow and would likely require unexpected late developments within the final weeks before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$593
Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Glenn Ivey holds a commanding lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for Maryland’s 4th congressional district, reflecting his established position, substantial fundraising edge, and key endorsements including from Governor Wes Moore. The solidly Democratic district has favored Ivey in prior cycles, with his last primary win exceeding 84 percent, while challengers such as Joseph Gomes, Jakeya Johnson, Shavonne Hedgepeth, and Jonathan White show limited visibility and resources. Trader consensus prices this outcome near certainty, consistent with historical patterns for well-funded incumbents facing low-profile opposition. Scenarios that could realistically alter the result remain narrow and would likely require unexpected late developments within the final weeks before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$593
Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2026, 4:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Glenn Ivey" con 97%, seguido de "Joseph Gomes" con 15%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 97¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 10, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner ", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " es "Glenn Ivey" con 97%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 97% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Joseph Gomes" con 15%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MD-04 Democratic Primary Winner " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.