Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability for the June 23 Republican primary, driven by his status as the 2022 GOP nominee—who won that primary decisively with Trump backing—and strong appeal to the party base in a low-turnout contest. Ed Hale follows at 33.9%, gaining from self-funding as a Baltimore businessman who switched from Democrat, recent Timonium fundraiser on April 21, and fresh proposals like monetizing the governor's mansion. Larry Hogan holds 9.9% despite his January announcement ruling out a run, reflecting residual moderate support. Cox and Hale skipped March's first debate in confidence; a May 19 forum and early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics amid no public polls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoDan Cox 57%
Ed Hale 33.9%
John Myrick 2.6%
Larry Hogan 2.1%
$545,700 Vol.
$545,700 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Dan Cox
57%
Ed Hale
34%
John Myrick
3%
Larry Hogan
9%
Steve Hershey
2%
Christopher Bouchat
<1%
Carl Brunner
<1%
Kurt Wedekind
<1%
Dan Cox 57%
Ed Hale 33.9%
John Myrick 2.6%
Larry Hogan 2.1%
$545,700 Vol.
$545,700 Vol.
23 jun 2026
Dan Cox
$95,348 Vol.
57%
Ed Hale
$14,262 Vol.
34%
John Myrick
$3,883 Vol.
3%
Larry Hogan
$47,603 Vol.
9%
Steve Hershey
$345,793 Vol.
2%
Christopher Bouchat
$36,467 Vol.
<1%
Carl Brunner
$1,146 Vol.
<1%
Kurt Wedekind
$1,198 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability for the June 23 Republican primary, driven by his status as the 2022 GOP nominee—who won that primary decisively with Trump backing—and strong appeal to the party base in a low-turnout contest. Ed Hale follows at 33.9%, gaining from self-funding as a Baltimore businessman who switched from Democrat, recent Timonium fundraiser on April 21, and fresh proposals like monetizing the governor's mansion. Larry Hogan holds 9.9% despite his January announcement ruling out a run, reflecting residual moderate support. Cox and Hale skipped March's first debate in confidence; a May 19 forum and early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics amid no public polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ET
Volumen
$545,700Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability for the June 23 Republican primary, driven by his status as the 2022 GOP nominee—who won that primary decisively with Trump backing—and strong appeal to the party base in a low-turnout contest. Ed Hale follows at 33.9%, gaining from self-funding as a Baltimore businessman who switched from Democrat, recent Timonium fundraiser on April 21, and fresh proposals like monetizing the governor's mansion. Larry Hogan holds 9.9% despite his January announcement ruling out a run, reflecting residual moderate support. Cox and Hale skipped March's first debate in confidence; a May 19 forum and early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics amid no public polls.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Maryland, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Maryland Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maryland Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volumen
$545,700Fecha de finalización
23 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 10, 2025, 4:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Dan Cox at 57.5% implied probability for the June 23 Republican primary, driven by his status as the 2022 GOP nominee—who won that primary decisively with Trump backing—and strong appeal to the party base in a low-turnout contest. Ed Hale follows at 33.9%, gaining from self-funding as a Baltimore businessman who switched from Democrat, recent Timonium fundraiser on April 21, and fresh proposals like monetizing the governor's mansion. Larry Hogan holds 9.9% despite his January announcement ruling out a run, reflecting residual moderate support. Cox and Hale skipped March's first debate in confidence; a May 19 forum and early voting from June 11 could shift dynamics amid no public polls.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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