Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber sit atop early 2026 home run leaderboards with 16 apiece through mid-May, their neck-and-neck pace driving the market’s top implied probabilities as traders factor in Judge’s history of 50-plus homer seasons and elite exit velocities against Schwarber’s recent power surge, including a two-homer outing that pushed him toward 20 for the year. Munetaka Murakami’s 15 homers in his first full MLB campaign bolster his third-place standing, reflecting strong plate discipline and launch-angle improvements in Chicago. Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez trail with 14 and 13 respectively, their consistent production tempered by lower volume or injury recovery concerns. Overall, the tight early-season race among proven power bats keeps probabilities fluid heading into summer months when weather and schedule strength often amplify totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAaron Judge 37%
Kyle Schwarber 27%
Munetaka Murakami 14%
Matt Olson 7.8%
Aaron Judge
37%
Kyle Schwarber
27%
Munetaka Murakami
14%
Matt Olson
8%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Ben Rice
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Manny Machado
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
George Springer
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
Aaron Judge 37%
Kyle Schwarber 27%
Munetaka Murakami 14%
Matt Olson 7.8%
Aaron Judge
37%
Kyle Schwarber
27%
Munetaka Murakami
14%
Matt Olson
8%
Yordan Alvarez
7%
James Wood
5%
Brandon Lowe
2%
Shohei Ohtani
2%
Shea Langeliers
2%
Elly De La Cruz
2%
Ben Rice
2%
Jordan Walker
2%
Manny Machado
1%
CJ Abrams
1%
Cal Raleigh
1%
Junior Caminero
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
Sal Stewart
1%
George Springer
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Eugenio Suarez
1%
Juan Soto
1%
Rafael Devers
1%
Pete Alonso
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge and Kyle Schwarber sit atop early 2026 home run leaderboards with 16 apiece through mid-May, their neck-and-neck pace driving the market’s top implied probabilities as traders factor in Judge’s history of 50-plus homer seasons and elite exit velocities against Schwarber’s recent power surge, including a two-homer outing that pushed him toward 20 for the year. Munetaka Murakami’s 15 homers in his first full MLB campaign bolster his third-place standing, reflecting strong plate discipline and launch-angle improvements in Chicago. Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez trail with 14 and 13 respectively, their consistent production tempered by lower volume or injury recovery concerns. Overall, the tight early-season race among proven power bats keeps probabilities fluid heading into summer months when weather and schedule strength often amplify totals.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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