Narendra Modi’s third term as India’s prime minister, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections with a reduced but workable BJP-led NDA majority, runs through 2029, creating a high structural barrier to removal before December 31, 2026. Recent July 2026 student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities forced the rare resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, highlighting localized public pressure on the government, yet these events produced no parliamentary challenge, coalition fracture, or leadership transition signals capable of displacing Modi. Opposition calls for accountability have not translated into viable mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or widespread defections, and no verified reports indicate health concerns, voluntary retirement plans, or institutional moves that would alter this timeline within the narrow resolution window. Trader consensus at roughly 93% against early departure reflects these electoral and institutional realities over short-term protest activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
7% probabilidad
$230,782 Vol.
$230,782 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
7% probabilidad
$230,782 Vol.
$230,782 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as India’s prime minister, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections with a reduced but workable BJP-led NDA majority, runs through 2029, creating a high structural barrier to removal before December 31, 2026. Recent July 2026 student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities forced the rare resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, highlighting localized public pressure on the government, yet these events produced no parliamentary challenge, coalition fracture, or leadership transition signals capable of displacing Modi. Opposition calls for accountability have not translated into viable mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or widespread defections, and no verified reports indicate health concerns, voluntary retirement plans, or institutional moves that would alter this timeline within the narrow resolution window. Trader consensus at roughly 93% against early departure reflects these electoral and institutional realities over short-term protest activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volumen
$230,782Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as India’s prime minister, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections with a reduced but workable BJP-led NDA majority, runs through 2029, creating a high structural barrier to removal before December 31, 2026. Recent July 2026 student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities forced the rare resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, highlighting localized public pressure on the government, yet these events produced no parliamentary challenge, coalition fracture, or leadership transition signals capable of displacing Modi. Opposition calls for accountability have not translated into viable mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or widespread defections, and no verified reports indicate health concerns, voluntary retirement plans, or institutional moves that would alter this timeline within the narrow resolution window. Trader consensus at roughly 93% against early departure reflects these electoral and institutional realities over short-term protest activity.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$230,782Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as India’s prime minister, secured after the 2024 Lok Sabha elections with a reduced but workable BJP-led NDA majority, runs through 2029, creating a high structural barrier to removal before December 31, 2026. Recent July 2026 student-led protests over NEET exam irregularities forced the rare resignation of Education Minister Dharmendra Pradhan, highlighting localized public pressure on the government, yet these events produced no parliamentary challenge, coalition fracture, or leadership transition signals capable of displacing Modi. Opposition calls for accountability have not translated into viable mechanisms such as a no-confidence vote or widespread defections, and no verified reports indicate health concerns, voluntary retirement plans, or institutional moves that would alter this timeline within the narrow resolution window. Trader consensus at roughly 93% against early departure reflects these electoral and institutional realities over short-term protest activity.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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