Narendra Modi's position as prime minister of the NDA coalition government remains secure through the end of 2026, supported by a parliamentary majority and party organizational control, with the next general elections scheduled for 2029. Recent protests over voter-roll revisions and the chief election commissioner have highlighted opposition mobilization and some erosion in public approval but have not produced legislative defeats, coalition fractures, or other mechanisms capable of prompting resignation or removal. Trader consensus at 98.4 percent for "no" reflects the absence of credible near-term exit risks under India's constitutional framework and current political arithmetic. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include a sudden health event, major internal BJP or alliance realignment, or an unforeseen crisis that erodes majority support before the December 31, 2026 resolution date.