Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government as prime minister without any official signals or party actions pointing to an exit before the end of 2026. After completing his 75th birthday in September 2025 amid speculation tied to RSS comments on retirement age, he remained in office and has since maintained an active schedule, including public commitments on health policy and governance in 2026. The BJP-led NDA coalition has shown no internal fractures or leadership challenges that would prompt his removal, and opposition calls for resignation over state election outcomes have produced no measurable pressure. With the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no reported health or legal developments threatening his position, trader consensus assigns an 86.8 percent implied probability that Modi will stay through the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Modi fuera antes del 31 de diciembre de 2026?
Sí
$33,114 Vol.
$33,114 Vol.
Sí
$33,114 Vol.
$33,114 Vol.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi continues to lead India's government as prime minister without any official signals or party actions pointing to an exit before the end of 2026. After completing his 75th birthday in September 2025 amid speculation tied to RSS comments on retirement age, he remained in office and has since maintained an active schedule, including public commitments on health policy and governance in 2026. The BJP-led NDA coalition has shown no internal fractures or leadership challenges that would prompt his removal, and opposition calls for resignation over state election outcomes have produced no measurable pressure. With the next general election scheduled for 2029 and no reported health or legal developments threatening his position, trader consensus assigns an 86.8 percent implied probability that Modi will stay through the resolution date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes