Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges. Legal proceedings continue under special administrative measures, with no bail granted and arraignment proceedings adjourned into spring 2026 while challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial validity advance. Venezuela’s interim administration under Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and several American detainees since the capture, framing these steps as gestures tied to demands for Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores’s immediate release. Diplomatic pressure from Caracas, calls at the UN Human Rights Council, and potential plea negotiations or health-related factors remain central to trader assessments of any near-term release timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,631,348 Vol.
31 ene 2026
31 de diciembre
14%
$2,631,348 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$235,899 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges. Legal proceedings continue under special administrative measures, with no bail granted and arraignment proceedings adjourned into spring 2026 while challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial validity advance. Venezuela’s interim administration under Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and several American detainees since the capture, framing these steps as gestures tied to demands for Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores’s immediate release. Diplomatic pressure from Caracas, calls at the UN Human Rights Council, and potential plea negotiations or health-related factors remain central to trader assessments of any near-term release timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,631,348Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges. Legal proceedings continue under special administrative measures, with no bail granted and arraignment proceedings adjourned into spring 2026 while challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial validity advance. Venezuela’s interim administration under Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and several American detainees since the capture, framing these steps as gestures tied to demands for Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores’s immediate release. Diplomatic pressure from Caracas, calls at the UN Human Rights Council, and potential plea negotiations or health-related factors remain central to trader assessments of any near-term release timeline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,631,348Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas on longstanding narco-terrorism and drug-trafficking charges. Legal proceedings continue under special administrative measures, with no bail granted and arraignment proceedings adjourned into spring 2026 while challenges to the arrest’s extraterritorial validity advance. Venezuela’s interim administration under Delcy Rodríguez has released hundreds of political prisoners and several American detainees since the capture, framing these steps as gestures tied to demands for Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores’s immediate release. Diplomatic pressure from Caracas, calls at the UN Human Rights Council, and potential plea negotiations or health-related factors remain central to trader assessments of any near-term release timeline.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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