Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty. A June 1, 2027 trial date was set following a July 2026 pretrial hearing, with no bail request filed. Key variables for any release include potential plea negotiations, diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Venezuela’s interim authorities, shifts in U.S. executive policy, or developments in the broader transition process. No release has occurred as of mid-August 2026, and the case continues under standard federal procedures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,687,782 Vol.
31 de diciembre
7%
$2,687,782 Vol.
31 de diciembre
7%
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture during a U.S. military operation in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, to which they have pleaded not guilty. A June 1, 2027 trial date was set following a July 2026 pretrial hearing, with no bail request filed. Key variables for any release include potential plea negotiations, diplomatic engagement between the U.S. and Venezuela’s interim authorities, shifts in U.S. executive policy, or developments in the broader transition process. No release has occurred as of mid-August 2026, and the case continues under standard federal procedures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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