Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture by American forces during a January 3, 2026 raid in Caracas on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, to which he has pleaded not guilty. His trial is scheduled to begin June 1, 2027. Acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration for stability and oil-sector cooperation, along with Venezuelan officials, have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an extraterritorial operation. Recent developments include the June 2026 earthquakes that complicated Venezuela’s political transition, ongoing releases of other political prisoners under US pressure, and US oil company engagement with Caracas. Trader sentiment reflects low near-term probability of release absent a plea agreement, diplomatic breakthrough, or policy shift before the 2027 proceedings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,687,790 Vol.
30 ene 2026
31 de diciembre
7%
$2,687,790 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$292,341 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture by American forces during a January 3, 2026 raid in Caracas on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, to which he has pleaded not guilty. His trial is scheduled to begin June 1, 2027. Acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration for stability and oil-sector cooperation, along with Venezuelan officials, have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an extraterritorial operation. Recent developments include the June 2026 earthquakes that complicated Venezuela’s political transition, ongoing releases of other political prisoners under US pressure, and US oil company engagement with Caracas. Trader sentiment reflects low near-term probability of release absent a plea agreement, diplomatic breakthrough, or policy shift before the 2027 proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Volumen
$2,687,790Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture by American forces during a January 3, 2026 raid in Caracas on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, to which he has pleaded not guilty. His trial is scheduled to begin June 1, 2027. Acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration for stability and oil-sector cooperation, along with Venezuelan officials, have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an extraterritorial operation. Recent developments include the June 2026 earthquakes that complicated Venezuela’s political transition, ongoing releases of other political prisoners under US pressure, and US oil company engagement with Caracas. Trader sentiment reflects low near-term probability of release absent a plea agreement, diplomatic breakthrough, or policy shift before the 2027 proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,687,790Fecha de finalización
31 ene 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Nicolás Maduro has remained in US federal custody in Brooklyn since his capture by American forces during a January 3, 2026 raid in Caracas on narco-terrorism, drug trafficking, and weapons charges, to which he has pleaded not guilty. His trial is scheduled to begin June 1, 2027. Acting Venezuelan President Delcy Rodríguez, backed by the Trump administration for stability and oil-sector cooperation, along with Venezuelan officials, have repeatedly demanded his immediate release, framing the detention as an extraterritorial operation. Recent developments include the June 2026 earthquakes that complicated Venezuela’s political transition, ongoing releases of other political prisoners under US pressure, and US oil company engagement with Caracas. Trader sentiment reflects low near-term probability of release absent a plea agreement, diplomatic breakthrough, or policy shift before the 2027 proceedings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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