Aaron Judge’s early-season power surge, with 16 home runs and an OPS near 1.040 through roughly 45 games, has solidified trader consensus around his 49.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL MVP. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 18.0% on the strength of a .309 batting average, elite defense, and league-leading WAR that reflects his all-around impact for the Royals. Yordan Alvarez at 11.1% benefits from a strong rebound after prior injury concerns, while emerging contributors like Nick Kurtz and Ben Rice draw support at 6.5% and 4.2% respectively amid breakout performances. Veterans such as Jose Ramirez maintain modest shares based on steady production, though recent results show Judge widening his edge through superior slugging and run production in the first six weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 18%
Nick Kurtz 13%
Yordan Alvarez 10.9%
$50,922 Vol.
$50,922 Vol.
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
18%
Nick Kurtz
13%
Yordan Alvarez
11%
Ben Rice
4%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Julio Rodríguez
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
Aaron Judge 50%
Bobby Witt Jr. 18%
Nick Kurtz 13%
Yordan Alvarez 10.9%
$50,922 Vol.
$50,922 Vol.
Aaron Judge
50%
Bobby Witt Jr.
18%
Nick Kurtz
13%
Yordan Alvarez
11%
Ben Rice
4%
Jose Ramirez
4%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
1%
Mike Trout
1%
Julio Rodríguez
1%
Gunnar Henderson
1%
Corey Seager
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge’s early-season power surge, with 16 home runs and an OPS near 1.040 through roughly 45 games, has solidified trader consensus around his 49.5% implied probability for the 2026 AL MVP. Bobby Witt Jr. follows at 18.0% on the strength of a .309 batting average, elite defense, and league-leading WAR that reflects his all-around impact for the Royals. Yordan Alvarez at 11.1% benefits from a strong rebound after prior injury concerns, while emerging contributors like Nick Kurtz and Ben Rice draw support at 6.5% and 4.2% respectively amid breakout performances. Veterans such as Jose Ramirez maintain modest shares based on steady production, though recent results show Judge widening his edge through superior slugging and run production in the first six weeks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes