Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), Ilya Sutskever’s lab founded in 2024, maintains a singular focus on delivering safe superintelligence as its first and only product, with no intermediate large language models, APIs, or demonstrations released in over two years. Traders see the 88.5% “No” odds as reflecting realistic timelines for frontier AI progress: even after the July 2026 NVIDIA partnership that scaled compute by an order of magnitude, SSI remains in stealth with unconfirmed August 2026 model rumors and no verified capability milestones. Achieving and publicly announcing superintelligence-level performance—far beyond current benchmarks—within the remaining months would require unprecedented, publicly demonstrated breakthroughs unlikely under the lab’s stated “straight-shot” strategy. Key near-term catalysts include any official model release or capability update that could shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
11% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Sí
11% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), Ilya Sutskever’s lab founded in 2024, maintains a singular focus on delivering safe superintelligence as its first and only product, with no intermediate large language models, APIs, or demonstrations released in over two years. Traders see the 88.5% “No” odds as reflecting realistic timelines for frontier AI progress: even after the July 2026 NVIDIA partnership that scaled compute by an order of magnitude, SSI remains in stealth with unconfirmed August 2026 model rumors and no verified capability milestones. Achieving and publicly announcing superintelligence-level performance—far beyond current benchmarks—within the remaining months would require unprecedented, publicly demonstrated breakthroughs unlikely under the lab’s stated “straight-shot” strategy. Key near-term catalysts include any official model release or capability update that could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 11, 2026, 4:28 PM ET
Volumen
$2,668Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), Ilya Sutskever’s lab founded in 2024, maintains a singular focus on delivering safe superintelligence as its first and only product, with no intermediate large language models, APIs, or demonstrations released in over two years. Traders see the 88.5% “No” odds as reflecting realistic timelines for frontier AI progress: even after the July 2026 NVIDIA partnership that scaled compute by an order of magnitude, SSI remains in stealth with unconfirmed August 2026 model rumors and no verified capability milestones. Achieving and publicly announcing superintelligence-level performance—far beyond current benchmarks—within the remaining months would require unprecedented, publicly demonstrated breakthroughs unlikely under the lab’s stated “straight-shot” strategy. Key near-term catalysts include any official model release or capability update that could shift consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative of the company announces that it has created a safe superintelligence (SSI) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
Qualifying statements must unambiguously state that SSI has achieved or created a safe superintelligence. For example, SSI describing a released product or system as a safe superintelligence would qualify. Statements that merely allude to the possibility of a safe superintelligence, indicate progress toward it, suggest that SSI is close to achieving it, or are otherwise ambiguous will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. and its official representatives; informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Safe Superintelligence Inc. or its official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Note: This market will resolve solely based on a qualifying announcement by Safe Superintelligence Inc. or an official representative. Whether or not a safe superintelligence was actually achieved, or whether it is publicly accessible, will not be considered for resolution.
Volumen
$2,668Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 11, 2026, 4:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Safe Superintelligence Inc. (SSI), Ilya Sutskever’s lab founded in 2024, maintains a singular focus on delivering safe superintelligence as its first and only product, with no intermediate large language models, APIs, or demonstrations released in over two years. Traders see the 88.5% “No” odds as reflecting realistic timelines for frontier AI progress: even after the July 2026 NVIDIA partnership that scaled compute by an order of magnitude, SSI remains in stealth with unconfirmed August 2026 model rumors and no verified capability milestones. Achieving and publicly announcing superintelligence-level performance—far beyond current benchmarks—within the remaining months would require unprecedented, publicly demonstrated breakthroughs unlikely under the lab’s stated “straight-shot” strategy. Key near-term catalysts include any official model release or capability update that could shift consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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