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icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?

$606k - $613k 40%

$613k - $620k 35%

>$620k 13%

$599k - $606k 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$606k - $613k 40%

$613k - $620k 35%

>$620k 13%

$599k - $606k 9%

Polymarket
NUEVO

$599k - $606k

$502 Vol.

9%

<$585k

$77 Vol.

6%

$606k - $613k

$135 Vol.

40%

$585k - $592k

$77 Vol.

5%

$592k - $599k

$86 Vol.

5%

$613k - $620k

$90 Vol.

35%

>$620k

$79 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Volumen
$1,047
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Volumen
$1,047
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in New York City, New York on June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "$606k - $613k" con 40%, seguido de "$613k - $620k" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 40¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 2, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" es "$606k - $613k" con 40%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 40% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$613k - $620k" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en la ciudad de Nueva York el 30 de junio?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.