Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and rising inventory continue to constrain buyer demand, anchoring market-implied odds toward the lower bins for the June 30 median home value. Recent Census Bureau data showed the Q1 2026 median sales price at $403,200, down from prior quarters, while Redfin reported May medians near $399,000 with only modest year-over-year gains. Analysts project near-flat national appreciation for 2026 overall, as higher supply and affordability pressures offset limited rate relief. Seasonal patterns and the upcoming June 24 Census release add near-term uncertainty, leaving the distribution wide as traders weigh whether stabilizing sales or further softening will dominate the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<$429k 38%
$429k - $431k 18%
$431k - $433k 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
34%
$429k - $431k
18%
$431k - $433k
15%
$433k - $435k
11%
$435,000 - $437,000
7%
$437 mil - $439 mil
5%
>$439k
5%
<$429k 38%
$429k - $431k 18%
$431k - $433k 15%
$433k - $435k 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$429k
$176 Vol.
34%
$429k - $431k
$18 Vol.
18%
$431k - $433k
$1 Vol.
15%
$433k - $435k
$1 Vol.
11%
$435,000 - $437,000
$0 Vol.
7%
$437 mil - $439 mil
$30 Vol.
5%
>$439k
$0 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and rising inventory continue to constrain buyer demand, anchoring market-implied odds toward the lower bins for the June 30 median home value. Recent Census Bureau data showed the Q1 2026 median sales price at $403,200, down from prior quarters, while Redfin reported May medians near $399,000 with only modest year-over-year gains. Analysts project near-flat national appreciation for 2026 overall, as higher supply and affordability pressures offset limited rate relief. Seasonal patterns and the upcoming June 24 Census release add near-term uncertainty, leaving the distribution wide as traders weigh whether stabilizing sales or further softening will dominate the final reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Mercado abierto: Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volumen
$227Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and rising inventory continue to constrain buyer demand, anchoring market-implied odds toward the lower bins for the June 30 median home value. Recent Census Bureau data showed the Q1 2026 median sales price at $403,200, down from prior quarters, while Redfin reported May medians near $399,000 with only modest year-over-year gains. Analysts project near-flat national appreciation for 2026 overall, as higher supply and affordability pressures offset limited rate relief. Seasonal patterns and the upcoming June 24 Census release add near-term uncertainty, leaving the distribution wide as traders weigh whether stabilizing sales or further softening will dominate the final reading.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/41)
Volumen
$227Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 2, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.4% and rising inventory continue to constrain buyer demand, anchoring market-implied odds toward the lower bins for the June 30 median home value. Recent Census Bureau data showed the Q1 2026 median sales price at $403,200, down from prior quarters, while Redfin reported May medians near $399,000 with only modest year-over-year gains. Analysts project near-flat national appreciation for 2026 overall, as higher supply and affordability pressures offset limited rate relief. Seasonal patterns and the upcoming June 24 Census release add near-term uncertainty, leaving the distribution wide as traders weigh whether stabilizing sales or further softening will dominate the final reading.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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