Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$351k - $354k 30%
$339k - $342k 16%
$342k - $345k 14%
$348k - $351k 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$339k
37%
$339k - $342k
16%
$342k - $345k
14%
$345k - $348k
10%
$348k - $351k
11%
$351k - $354k
30%
>$354k
42%
$351k - $354k 30%
$339k - $342k 16%
$342k - $345k 14%
$348k - $351k 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 jun 2026
<$339k
$77 Vol.
37%
$339k - $342k
$51 Vol.
16%
$342k - $345k
$258 Vol.
14%
$345k - $348k
$173 Vol.
10%
$348k - $351k
$188 Vol.
11%
$351k - $354k
$46 Vol.
30%
>$354k
$185 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Mercado abierto: Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ET
Volumen
$978Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in Chicago on June 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for Chicago, IL (Parcl_ID: 2899845). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1500 square feet, which is the median home size in Chicago. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/46)
Volumen
$978Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 3, 2026, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing data show modest year-over-year appreciation in Chicago amid persistently low inventory and mortgage rates near 6%, supporting trader focus on the $342k–$345k bin at 20% implied probability. Zillow’s Home Value Index stood near $326k as of late May 2026 with 3.5% annual gains, while Redfin median sale prices reached $420k in the three months ending May, reflecting different methodologies and competitive bidding. With resolution only weeks away, limited further movement is expected before June 30, keeping probabilities closely clustered as traders weigh seasonal demand, potential data revisions, and supply constraints that have driven steady but not accelerated price growth.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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