Polymarket traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on延续 the Banco Central do Brasil's easing cycle after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts in March (to 14.75%) and April (to 14.50%), despite April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.39% year-over-year—still within the 3% ±1.5% tolerance band. Copom minutes emphasized a data-dependent stance amid geopolitical risks elevating oil prices and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.91%, supporting no-change odds at 27.3% while pricing hikes at just 1.4%. Pivotal catalysts include the impending May IPCA release and weekly Focus updates on Selic path versus end-2026 forecasts near 13%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
¿Decisión del Banco de Brasil en junio?
Disminuir 72%
Sin cambios 27.4%
Aumentar 1.0%
$123,539 Vol.
$123,539 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
1%
Sin cambios
27%
Disminuir
72%
Disminuir 72%
Sin cambios 27.4%
Aumentar 1.0%
$123,539 Vol.
$123,539 Vol.
16 jun 2026
Aumentar
$36,773 Vol.
1%
Sin cambios
$31,356 Vol.
27%
Disminuir
$55,410 Vol.
72%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on延续 the Banco Central do Brasil's easing cycle after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts in March (to 14.75%) and April (to 14.50%), despite April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.39% year-over-year—still within the 3% ±1.5% tolerance band. Copom minutes emphasized a data-dependent stance amid geopolitical risks elevating oil prices and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.91%, supporting no-change odds at 27.3% while pricing hikes at just 1.4%. Pivotal catalysts include the impending May IPCA release and weekly Focus updates on Selic path versus end-2026 forecasts near 13%.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado abierto: Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ET
Volumen
$123,539Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on延续 the Banco Central do Brasil's easing cycle after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts in March (to 14.75%) and April (to 14.50%), despite April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.39% year-over-year—still within the 3% ±1.5% tolerance band. Copom minutes emphasized a data-dependent stance amid geopolitical risks elevating oil prices and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.91%, supporting no-change odds at 27.3% while pricing hikes at just 1.4%. Pivotal catalysts include the impending May IPCA release and weekly Focus updates on Selic path versus end-2026 forecasts near 13%.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volumen
$123,539Fecha de finalización
16 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 24, 2026, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 69.5% implied probability to a Selic rate decrease at the June Copom meeting, reflecting consensus on延续 the Banco Central do Brasil's easing cycle after unanimous 25-basis-point cuts in March (to 14.75%) and April (to 14.50%), despite April IPCA inflation accelerating to 4.39% year-over-year—still within the 3% ±1.5% tolerance band. Copom minutes emphasized a data-dependent stance amid geopolitical risks elevating oil prices and Focus survey 2026 inflation expectations at 4.91%, supporting no-change odds at 27.3% while pricing hikes at just 1.4%. Pivotal catalysts include the impending May IPCA release and weekly Focus updates on Selic path versus end-2026 forecasts near 13%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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