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Economía·Alojamiento

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?

icon for ¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?
Economía·Alojamiento

¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?

sep 30

sep 30

<$1.176M 53%

$1.176M - $1.198M 35%

$1.220M - $1.242M 10.5%

$1.242M - $1.264M 6.3%

Polymarket

$36,479 Vol.

<$1.176M 53%

$1.176M - $1.198M 35%

$1.220M - $1.242M 10.5%

$1.242M - $1.264M 6.3%

Polymarket

$36,479 Vol.

<$1.176M

$14,452 Vol.

53%

$1.176M - $1.198M

$13,697 Vol.

35%

$1.198M - $1.220M

$1,816 Vol.

6%

$1.220M - $1.242M

$1,808 Vol.

8%

$1.242M - $1.264M

$2,731 Vol.

6%

$1.264M - $1.284M

$904 Vol.

<1%

$1.284M+

$1,072 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Strong recent price momentum in the San Francisco metro, fueled by tight inventory and sustained demand from the technology sector, underpins trader positioning around the $1.176 million threshold. Year-over-year gains exceeding 11% through July 2026, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.42 million for the city proper and broader Bay Area typical values holding above $1.17 million, reflect solid fundamentals including faster sales velocity and elevated sale-to-list ratios. Low mortgage rates relative to recent peaks and limited new supply continue to support valuations, though metro-wide medians incorporate more affordable suburban segments that temper city-core appreciation. With the September 30 resolution date approaching, the next round of regional housing data releases and any shifts in Fed policy expectations represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence final settlement.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volumen
$36,479
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)Strong recent price momentum in the San Francisco metro, fueled by tight inventory and sustained demand from the technology sector, underpins trader positioning around the $1.176 million threshold. Year-over-year gains exceeding 11% through July 2026, with Zillow Home Value Index readings near $1.42 million for the city proper and broader Bay Area typical values holding above $1.17 million, reflect solid fundamentals including faster sales velocity and elevated sale-to-list ratios. Low mortgage rates relative to recent peaks and limited new supply continue to support valuations, though metro-wide medians incorporate more affordable suburban segments that temper city-core appreciation. With the September 30 resolution date approaching, the next round of regional housing data releases and any shifts in Fed policy expectations represent the key near-term catalysts that could influence final settlement.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)
Volumen
$36,479
Fecha de finalización
30 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the San Francisco Metro area on September 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the San Francisco Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900336). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1700 square feet, which is the median home size in the San Francisco Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/52)

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "<$1.176M" con 53%, seguido de "$1.176M - $1.198M" con 35%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?" ha generado $36.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?" es "<$1.176M" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "$1.176M - $1.198M" con 35%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Cuál será el valor medio de la vivienda en el área metropolitana de SF el 30 de septiembre?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.