Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué película tiene el segundo mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
¿Qué película tiene el segundo mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 53%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 29%
Avengers: Doomsday 17%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
53%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
29%
Avengers: Doomsday
17%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
8%
Toy Story 5
6%
Dune: Messiah
4%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 53%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 29%
Avengers: Doomsday 17%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
31 dic 2026
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$67 Vol.
53%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$10 Vol.
29%
Avengers: Doomsday
$10 Vol.
17%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$10 Vol.
8%
Toy Story 5
$10 Vol.
6%
Dune: Messiah
$10 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Volumen
$117Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$117Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Toy Story 5's record domestic opening of roughly $160 million in June has positioned it as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest debut, leaving a crowded field of franchise entries vying for second place. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie, Michael, Project Hail Mary, and upcoming titles such as Spider-Man: Brand New Day, Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping sit in near-perfect parity on Polymarket, reflecting comparable scale, brand equity, and marketing momentum. Key swing factors include precise release windows, presale trajectories, and competition from other tentpoles, with traders closely tracking box-office tracking reports and historical franchise benchmarks to differentiate long-term prospects.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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