Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June, the year’s largest debut to date and second-biggest animated start ever, anchors trader consensus at 95% implied probability for third place among 2026 releases. Its Pixar brand strength, broad family appeal, and positive critical reception have sustained strong holds, placing it ahead of earlier benchmarks like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie while later tentpoles remain untested. Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and Spider-Man: Brand New Day could realistically upset the ranking with outsized December or holiday launches that exceed current tracking, though historical patterns favor established animated sequels in mid-year slots for consistent top-three finishes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué película tiene el tercer mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
¿Qué película tiene el tercer mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 4.3%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.3%
$30,493 Vol.
$30,493 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Toy Story 5
95%
Dune: Messiah
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
<1%
Toy Story 5 95%
Dune: Messiah 4.3%
Avengers: Doomsday 2.1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping 1.3%
$30,493 Vol.
$30,493 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Toy Story 5
$19,222 Vol.
95%
Dune: Messiah
$2,118 Vol.
4%
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,698 Vol.
2%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,645 Vol.
1%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,900 Vol.
1%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$2,276 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June, the year’s largest debut to date and second-biggest animated start ever, anchors trader consensus at 95% implied probability for third place among 2026 releases. Its Pixar brand strength, broad family appeal, and positive critical reception have sustained strong holds, placing it ahead of earlier benchmarks like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie while later tentpoles remain untested. Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and Spider-Man: Brand New Day could realistically upset the ranking with outsized December or holiday launches that exceed current tracking, though historical patterns favor established animated sequels in mid-year slots for consistent top-three finishes.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ET
Volumen
$30,493Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June, the year’s largest debut to date and second-biggest animated start ever, anchors trader consensus at 95% implied probability for third place among 2026 releases. Its Pixar brand strength, broad family appeal, and positive critical reception have sustained strong holds, placing it ahead of earlier benchmarks like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie while later tentpoles remain untested. Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and Spider-Man: Brand New Day could realistically upset the ranking with outsized December or holiday launches that exceed current tracking, though historical patterns favor established animated sequels in mid-year slots for consistent top-three finishes.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the third-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the third-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 3rd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$30,493Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Toy Story 5’s franchise-record $160 million domestic opening in June, the year’s largest debut to date and second-biggest animated start ever, anchors trader consensus at 95% implied probability for third place among 2026 releases. Its Pixar brand strength, broad family appeal, and positive critical reception have sustained strong holds, placing it ahead of earlier benchmarks like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie while later tentpoles remain untested. Avengers: Doomsday, Dune: Messiah, and Spider-Man: Brand New Day could realistically upset the ranking with outsized December or holiday launches that exceed current tracking, though historical patterns favor established animated sequels in mid-year slots for consistent top-three finishes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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