Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend at 66.5% implied probability, driven by its late-December release positioning it to capitalize on peak holiday audiences and MCU multiverse hype following Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million July debut has anchored expectations for the top spot, shifting focus to whether Doomsday can surpass Toy Story 5's $160 million June opening or other summer releases amid strong presales tracking. Low-probability options like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect limited comparable historical openings, while the cluster of 50% outcomes signals broad uncertainty until Doomsday's campaign gains concrete momentum from guild buzz or early tracking. Upcoming catalysts include December preview numbers that could solidify or disrupt the current frontrunner status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué película tiene el segundo mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
¿Qué película tiene el segundo mayor fin de semana de estreno en 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
35%
Toy Story 5
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
<1%
Dune: Messiah
<1%
Avengers: Doomsday 66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 35%
Toy Story 5 <1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping <1%
$61,127 Vol.
$61,127 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$26,008 Vol.
66%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$29,177 Vol.
35%
Toy Story 5
$579 Vol.
<1%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$482 Vol.
<1%
Dune: Messiah
$3,600 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend at 66.5% implied probability, driven by its late-December release positioning it to capitalize on peak holiday audiences and MCU multiverse hype following Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million July debut has anchored expectations for the top spot, shifting focus to whether Doomsday can surpass Toy Story 5's $160 million June opening or other summer releases amid strong presales tracking. Low-probability options like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect limited comparable historical openings, while the cluster of 50% outcomes signals broad uncertainty until Doomsday's campaign gains concrete momentum from guild buzz or early tracking. Upcoming catalysts include December preview numbers that could solidify or disrupt the current frontrunner status.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Mercado abierto: Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ET
Volumen
$61,127Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend at 66.5% implied probability, driven by its late-December release positioning it to capitalize on peak holiday audiences and MCU multiverse hype following Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million July debut has anchored expectations for the top spot, shifting focus to whether Doomsday can surpass Toy Story 5's $160 million June opening or other summer releases amid strong presales tracking. Low-probability options like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect limited comparable historical openings, while the cluster of 50% outcomes signals broad uncertainty until Doomsday's campaign gains concrete momentum from guild buzz or early tracking. Upcoming catalysts include December preview numbers that could solidify or disrupt the current frontrunner status.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend.
If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volumen
$61,127Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 23, 2026, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader sentiment for the second-biggest 2026 domestic opening weekend at 66.5% implied probability, driven by its late-December release positioning it to capitalize on peak holiday audiences and MCU multiverse hype following Robert Downey Jr.'s Doctor Doom casting. Spider-Man: Brand New Day's record-shattering $360 million July debut has anchored expectations for the top spot, shifting focus to whether Doomsday can surpass Toy Story 5's $160 million June opening or other summer releases amid strong presales tracking. Low-probability options like Dune: Messiah and The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping reflect limited comparable historical openings, while the cluster of 50% outcomes signals broad uncertainty until Doomsday's campaign gains concrete momentum from guild buzz or early tracking. Upcoming catalysts include December preview numbers that could solidify or disrupt the current frontrunner status.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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