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icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$395,136 Vol.

3 nov 2026
Polymarket

$395,136 Vol.

Polymarket

California

$17,232 Vol.

98%

Texas

$19,793 Vol.

98%

North Carolina

$11,909 Vol.

96%

Ohio

$7,385 Vol.

94%

Utah

$93,640 Vol.

91%

Florida

$7,123 Vol.

98%

Louisiana

$16,019 Vol.

93%

Missouri

$5,494 Vol.

93%

Virginia

$9,944 Vol.

5%

Alabama

$16,806 Vol.

91%

South Carolina

$28,897 Vol.

<1%

Georgia

$8,469 Vol.

6%

Kansas

$7,979 Vol.

<1%

New Jersey

$6,034 Vol.

4%

Indiana

$34,456 Vol.

5%

Washington

$10,099 Vol.

4%

Nebraska

$7,515 Vol.

5%

Illinois

$11,855 Vol.

2%

Minnesota

$15,865 Vol.

5%

New York

$19,708 Vol.

4%

Maryland

$16,339 Vol.

4%

Wisconsin

$22,576 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025, marking an unusually active round of mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. These changes stem primarily from state legislative actions, a November 2025 California ballot measure, and federal court rulings including the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision, which altered standards for evaluating race in districting and enabled reversals of prior injunctions. Partisan map-drawing in Republican-led states and responses to Voting Rights Act litigation have produced expected seat shifts favoring one party or the other in most cases, while a handful of additional states explored but did not complete changes before the election cycle. Most maps are now finalized or in effect for primaries and the November 2026 contests, though residual litigation in a few jurisdictions could still trigger adjustments before ballots are fully settled.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$395,136
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps since mid-2025, marking an unusually active round of mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 midterms. These changes stem primarily from state legislative actions, a November 2025 California ballot measure, and federal court rulings including the Supreme Court’s Louisiana v. Callais decision, which altered standards for evaluating race in districting and enabled reversals of prior injunctions. Partisan map-drawing in Republican-led states and responses to Voting Rights Act litigation have produced expected seat shifts favoring one party or the other in most cases, while a handful of additional states explored but did not complete changes before the election cycle. Most maps are now finalized or in effect for primaries and the November 2026 contests, though residual litigation in a few jurisdictions could still trigger adjustments before ballots are fully settled.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$395,136
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 22 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "California" con 98%, seguido de "Texas" con 98%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 98¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" ha generado $395.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 30, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?", explora los 22 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" es "California" con 98%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 98% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Texas" con 98%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

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