Mid-decade redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms as Republican-led legislatures in states including Texas, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, Missouri, and Tennessee enacted new congressional maps following presidential encouragement and a late-April Supreme Court ruling that struck down a Louisiana district drawn under Voting Rights Act guidelines. These revisions, now finalized in eight states with additional changes under litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, aim to adjust partisan balance through legislative or court processes. Democrats responded with voter-approved maps in California that favor their side. Primary elections are already underway in several states, and pending court appeals or further legislative sessions could alter which maps apply on election day, directly influencing seat projections and House majority odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$257,230 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
95%
North Carolina
97%
Ohio
93%
Utah
87%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
18%
Alabama
82%
South Carolina
85%
Georgia
12%
Kansas
8%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
7%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
12%
$257,230 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
95%
North Carolina
97%
Ohio
93%
Utah
87%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
92%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
18%
Alabama
82%
South Carolina
85%
Georgia
12%
Kansas
8%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
7%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
12%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms as Republican-led legislatures in states including Texas, North Carolina, Ohio, Florida, Missouri, and Tennessee enacted new congressional maps following presidential encouragement and a late-April Supreme Court ruling that struck down a Louisiana district drawn under Voting Rights Act guidelines. These revisions, now finalized in eight states with additional changes under litigation in Alabama, Georgia, and Louisiana, aim to adjust partisan balance through legislative or court processes. Democrats responded with voter-approved maps in California that favor their side. Primary elections are already underway in several states, and pending court appeals or further legislative sessions could alter which maps apply on election day, directly influencing seat projections and House majority odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes