Several states have pursued mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 congressional midterms, driven primarily by Republican-led efforts to adjust district lines following a late-April Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that limited the use of race in drawing majority-minority districts under the Voting Rights Act. As of mid-May, new maps have taken effect in California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah, with additional changes imposed by courts in Utah. Ongoing litigation and special legislative sessions in Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina could still alter lines before primaries conclude and ballots are finalized. These developments reflect partisan competition over House seat distributions, with outcomes hinging on state legislative actions, gubernatorial calls for special sessions, and remaining court decisions that determine which maps will govern the November elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$262,091 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
93%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
93%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
91%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
82%
Georgia
27%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
6%
$262,091 Vol.
California
97%
Texas
93%
North Carolina
98%
Ohio
93%
Utah
88%
Florida
63%
Louisiana
91%
Missouri
86%
Virginia
7%
Alabama
80%
South Carolina
82%
Georgia
27%
Kansas
9%
New Jersey
6%
Indiana
6%
Washington
8%
Nebraska
6%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
13%
Maryland
17%
Wisconsin
6%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Several states have pursued mid-decade redistricting ahead of the 2026 congressional midterms, driven primarily by Republican-led efforts to adjust district lines following a late-April Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that limited the use of race in drawing majority-minority districts under the Voting Rights Act. As of mid-May, new maps have taken effect in California, Florida, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah, with additional changes imposed by courts in Utah. Ongoing litigation and special legislative sessions in Alabama, Louisiana, and South Carolina could still alter lines before primaries conclude and ballots are finalized. These developments reflect partisan competition over House seat distributions, with outcomes hinging on state legislative actions, gubernatorial calls for special sessions, and remaining court decisions that determine which maps will govern the November elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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