US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, sanctions relief, and ending hostilities following the 2026 conflict and prior ceasefire. As of early August, President Trump has described negotiations as underway or imminent—labeling them a "last chance" for a deal—while emphasizing priority on Hormuz navigation and denuclearization; Tehran denies direct bilateral talks and conditions any progress on ending the US naval blockade and related measures, preferring indirect channels via Oman. Mediators including Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar have facilitated prior rounds, with recent statements highlighting stalled momentum and Iranian demands for sequential implementation. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over attendance formats, direct participation, and whether a new round materializes before the August 31 cutoff amid these competing positions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Quién asistirá a una ronda de conversaciones de paz entre Estados Unidos e Irán antes del 31 de agosto?
$75,472 Vol.
Nick Stewart
49%
Kazem Gharibabadi
30%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
20%
Jared Kushner
19%
Steve Witkoff
17%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
17%
Abbas Araghchi
15%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
J.D. Vance
7%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
43%
$75,472 Vol.
Nick Stewart
49%
Kazem Gharibabadi
30%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
20%
Jared Kushner
19%
Steve Witkoff
17%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
17%
Abbas Araghchi
15%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
Ishaq Dar
10%
J.D. Vance
7%
Rafael Grossi
17%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Marco Rubio
3%
Donald Trump
2%
Esmail Qaani
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
43%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomatic efforts center on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which established a 60-day window for talks on reopening the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's nuclear and missile programs, sanctions relief, and ending hostilities following the 2026 conflict and prior ceasefire. As of early August, President Trump has described negotiations as underway or imminent—labeling them a "last chance" for a deal—while emphasizing priority on Hormuz navigation and denuclearization; Tehran denies direct bilateral talks and conditions any progress on ending the US naval blockade and related measures, preferring indirect channels via Oman. Mediators including Oman, Pakistan, and Qatar have facilitated prior rounds, with recent statements highlighting stalled momentum and Iranian demands for sequential implementation. Trader focus reflects uncertainty over attendance formats, direct participation, and whether a new round materializes before the August 31 cutoff amid these competing positions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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