Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to reshape senior Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership, with major investigations announced in January 2026 against Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, followed by the April probe into former Xinjiang party secretary and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves extend a multi-year effort that has already removed over 100 senior officers since 2022, hollowing out the CMC and signaling that even long-time allies remain vulnerable ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Traders monitor further military reshuffles, potential Politburo-level cases, and any public signals from discipline inspection authorities, as the campaign shows no sign of slowing and directly affects prospects for additional high-level removals through the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$157,351 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Dong Jun
8%
Wang Yi
7%
Zhang Shengmin
6%
Ding Xuexiang
5%
Zhao Leji
5%
Li Qiang
5%
Wang Huning
5%
Cai Qi
4%
Li Xi
1%
$157,351 Vol.
Dong Jun
$31,499 Vol.
8%
Wang Yi
$11,781 Vol.
7%
Zhang Shengmin
$19,835 Vol.
6%
Ding Xuexiang
$13,496 Vol.
5%
Zhao Leji
$6,881 Vol.
5%
Li Qiang
$5,529 Vol.
5%
Wang Huning
$10,095 Vol.
5%
Cai Qi
$33,840 Vol.
4%
Li Xi
$24,394 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to reshape senior Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership, with major investigations announced in January 2026 against Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, followed by the April probe into former Xinjiang party secretary and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves extend a multi-year effort that has already removed over 100 senior officers since 2022, hollowing out the CMC and signaling that even long-time allies remain vulnerable ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Traders monitor further military reshuffles, potential Politburo-level cases, and any public signals from discipline inspection authorities, as the campaign shows no sign of slowing and directly affects prospects for additional high-level removals through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$157,351Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to reshape senior Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership, with major investigations announced in January 2026 against Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, followed by the April probe into former Xinjiang party secretary and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves extend a multi-year effort that has already removed over 100 senior officers since 2022, hollowing out the CMC and signaling that even long-time allies remain vulnerable ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Traders monitor further military reshuffles, potential Politburo-level cases, and any public signals from discipline inspection authorities, as the campaign shows no sign of slowing and directly affects prospects for additional high-level removals through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
1) The listed individual is removed or resigns from their primary political post or from their position, if any, on the Chinese Politburo or its standing committee, with a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor.
2) The listed individual is expelled from the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
Qualifying announcements and reporting of a purge before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal/expulsion goes into effect.
A listed individual leaving office at the end of a regularly scheduled term, or being removed/resigning from office without a consensus of credible reporting describing the resignation/removal as a “purge”, “ousting”, or similar language, or to have presumably or definitively occurred as a result of corruption, bribery, other criminal wrongdoing, or a lack of political favor, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from the Chinese Government and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$157,351Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s ongoing anti-corruption campaign continues to reshape senior Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army leadership, with major investigations announced in January 2026 against Central Military Commission vice chairman Zhang Youxia and joint staff chief Liu Zhenli, followed by the April probe into former Xinjiang party secretary and Politburo member Ma Xingrui. These moves extend a multi-year effort that has already removed over 100 senior officers since 2022, hollowing out the CMC and signaling that even long-time allies remain vulnerable ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. Traders monitor further military reshuffles, potential Politburo-level cases, and any public signals from discipline inspection authorities, as the campaign shows no sign of slowing and directly affects prospects for additional high-level removals through the end of 2026.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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