Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado12+ 31%
9-11 31%
6-8 20.5%
3-5 16.3%
$33,491 Vol.
$33,491 Vol.
31 may 2026
3-5
14%
6-8
34%
9-11
31%
12+
42%
12+ 31%
9-11 31%
6-8 20.5%
3-5 16.3%
$33,491 Vol.
$33,491 Vol.
31 may 2026
3-5
$3,858 Vol.
14%
6-8
$1,093 Vol.
34%
9-11
$659 Vol.
31%
12+
$4,982 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Mercado abierto: Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Volumen
$33,491Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in the month of May during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days which have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day in May 2026 is finalized. If the final day in May 2026 has not been finalized by June 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the days in May which have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Volumen
$33,491Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 30, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent elevated error rates and partial outages across Claude's large language models, including Opus 4.7 and Sonnet 4.6, have hit seven distinct days through May 13—May 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, 12, and 13—per status.claude.com, fueling trader consensus for significant May downtime. With 41.5% market-implied odds on 12+ days amid Anthropic's aggressive scaling to match OpenAI's GPT advancements and xAI's Grok, sentiment reflects capacity strains from surging demand for AI coding agents and complex reasoning tasks. Closely contested pricing for 6-8 days (34%) and 9-11 days (30.5%) hinges on whether infrastructure upgrades stabilize services in the remaining 17 days or if competitive pressures trigger more disruptions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes